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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2019, Vol. 16 Issue (1): 74-82    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2019.01.008
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基于事理图谱的政策影响分析方法及实证研究
单晓红, 庞世红, 刘晓燕, 杨娟
北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京 100124
Analysis and Empirical Study of Policy Impact Based on Event Evolution Graph
SHAN Xiaohong, PANG Shihong, LIU Xiaoyan, YANG Juan
School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
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摘要 有效的政策影响分析方法能够帮助政府及时和准确地了解政策对利益相关者及市场的影响,对于维护市场稳定和社会和谐具有重要意义。以政策颁布后形成的在线评论为数据源,基于哈工大语言技术平台,识别和抽取评论中的因果、顺承事件对,采用Gephi工具构建政策影响事理图谱,分析政策对利益相关者和市场产生的影响,并以北京“317新政”为例进行实证研究。结果表明,基于事理图谱的方法分析政策影响具有可行性。政策影响事理图谱能够同时刻画政策对利益相关者及市场的影响。通过事理图谱,相关工作者可以找出政策影响中的关键节点,有效管控关键节点,使政策有效实施。
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单晓红
庞世红
刘晓燕
杨娟
关键词 政策事理图谱在线评论扎根理论    
Abstract:An effective policy impact analysis methods can help the government to understand the impact of the policy on the stakeholders and the market in a timely and accurate manner, which is of great significance for maintaining market stability and social harmony. The paper takes the online review formed after the enactment of the policy as the source data, and based on the LTP, identifying and extracting causal event pairs and succeeding event pairs, using Gephi to construct policy influence event evolution graph, analyzing the impact of policy on stakeholders and related markets, and taking the "317 New Deal" in Beijing as an example to conduct an empirical study. The results show that the policy influence event evolution graph can fully portray the policy's impact on stakeholders and related market.
Key wordspolicy    event evolution graph    online review    grounded theory
收稿日期: 2018-12-20      出版日期: 2019-07-04
ZTFLH:  F120  
  C93-03  
基金资助:国家社科基金青年项目(15CTQ023)、北京自然科学基金(9172002,9174029)
作者简介: 单晓红(1976),女,吉林吉林人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为信息管理、商务智能。
引用本文:   
单晓红, 庞世红, 刘晓燕, 杨娟. 基于事理图谱的政策影响分析方法及实证研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2019, 16(1): 74-82.
SHAN Xiaohong, PANG Shihong, LIU Xiaoyan, YANG Juan. Analysis and Empirical Study of Policy Impact Based on Event Evolution Graph. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2019, 16(1): 74-82.
链接本文:  
http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2019.01.008      或      http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2019/V16/I1/74
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