Study on Optimal Allocation of Emergency Resources in Multiple Disaster Sites Under Epidemic Events
WANG Fuyu1, TANG Tao1a, LI Yan1a, WANG Xiaoniu2
1. a.School of Management Science and Engineering, b.Key Laboratory of Multidisciplinary Management and Control of Complex Systems of Anhui Higher Education Institutes, Anhui University of Technology, Maanshan 243002, China; 2. General Surgery Department, Maanshan People's Hospital, Maanshan 243000, China
Abstract:The outbreak of COVID19 has turned many areas into disaster areas. In order to provide timely relief to the disaster areas, accurate supply of post-disaster emergency resources has become the primary factor to ensure the safety of the people in the disaster areas. In this paper, SEIR was used to predict the number of infected people in each disaster area at the decision-making moment, and then the weight of urgency degree and material demand in the disaster area were calculated. Based on the degree of urgency, a multi-objective optimization model of emergency resource scheduling was constructed to maximize the satisfaction of the victims, minimize the total cost and consider the fairness of distribution. A multi-objective artificial bee colony algorithm is proposed. Aiming at the disadvantages of artificial bee colony algorithm such as precocity, the dynamic parameter and Pareto solution set are used to define the new bee colony location updating formula, and the teaching optimization is used to disturb the bee colony location, so as to avoid the algorithm falling into local extremum. The simulation results show that the proposed model and algorithm can effectively solve the problem of optimal allocation of emergency resources at multiple disaster points under epidemic events, and the improved algorithm has better performance.
王付宇, 汤涛, 李艳, 王小牛. 疫情事件下多灾点应急资源最优化配置研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(1): 53-62.
WANG Fuyu, TANG Tao, LI Yan, WANG Xiaoniu. Study on Optimal Allocation of Emergency Resources in Multiple Disaster Sites Under Epidemic Events. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2021, 18(1): 53-62.
[1] 张洁,高惠瑛,刘琦. 基于汶川地震的地震人员伤亡预测模型研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报,2011,21(3):5964. Zhang Jie, Gao Huiying, Liu Qi. Prediction model of earthquake casualties based on wenchuan earthquake [J]. Chinese journal of safety science, 2011,21(3):5964. [2] 丁志伟,刘艳云,孔京,等. 感染人数期望值估计及新增确诊人数趋势预测的概率模型[J]. 运筹学学报,2020,24(1):112. Ding Zhiwei, Liu Yanyun, Kong Jing, et al. Expected number of infected persons and probability model for predicting the trend of newly diagnosed persons [J]. Journal of Operations Research, 2020,24(1):112. [3] Sheu J B. An emergency logistics distribution approach for quick response to urgent relief demand in disasters[J]. Transportation Research, Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2007, 43(6): 687709. [4] Chen G T,Shuai B. Optimizing emergency road repair and distribution of relief supplies after earthquake[J]. China Safety Science Journal,2012,22(9): 166171. [5] Jiang J CH, Li Q Q, Wu L X,et al.Multiobjective emergency material vehicle dispatching and routing under dynamic constraints in an earthquake disaster environment[J].ISPRS International Journal of GeoInformation,2017,6(5): 142162. [6] 葛洪磊,刘南. 复杂灾害情景下应急资源配置的随机规划模型[J]. 系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(12):30343042. Ge Honglei, Liu Nan. Stochastic programming model of emergency resource allocation in complex disaster Scenarios [J]. Systems Engineering Theory and Practice, 2014,34(12):30343042. [7] 杜雪灵,孟学雷,杨贝,等. 考虑公平性的面向多灾点需求应急资源调度[J]. 计算机应用,2018,38(7):20892094. Du Xueling, Meng Xuelei, Yang Bei, et al. Emergency resource scheduling for multiple disaster points with consideration of equity [J]. Computer Application, 2008, 38(7):20892094. [8] 王付宇,叶春明,王涛,等. 震后伤员救援车辆两阶段规划模型及算法研究[J]. 管理科学学报,2018,21(2):6879. Wang Fuyu, Ye Chunming, Wang Tao, et al. Research on two-stage planning model and algorithm of post-earthquake casualty rescue Vehicles [J]. Journal of Management Science, 2016, 21(2):6879. [9] 王旭坪,董莉,陈明天. 考虑感知满意度的多受灾点应急资源分配模型[J]. 系统管理学报,2013,22(2):251256. Wang Xuping, Dong Li, Chen Mingtian. Multi-disaster emergency resource allocation model considering perceived satisfaction [J]. Journal of Systems Management, 2013,22(2):251256. [10] 詹沙磊,刘南. 基于灾情信息更新的应急物资配送多目标随机规划模型[J]. 系统工程理论与实践,2013,33(1):159166. Zhan Shalei, Liu Nan. Multi-objective stochastic planning model for emergency supplies distribution based on disaster information update [J]. Systems Engineering Theory and Practice, 2013,33(1):159166. [11] 沈晓冰,杨保华. 基于双层混合联运的震后应急物资配送模糊多目标优化[J]. 工业工程,2017,20(3):113117. Shen Xiaobing, Yang Baohua. Fuzzy multi-objective optimization of post-earthquake emergency material distribution based on double-layer hybrid transport [J]. Industrial Engineering, 2017,20(3):113117. [12] 戴君,王晶,易显强. 灾后应急资源配送的LRP模型与算法研究[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(1):122127. Dai Jun, Wang Jing, Yi Xianqiang. Research on LRP model and algorithm of post-disaster emergency resource distribution [J]. China science and technology of work safety, 2017,13(1):122127. [13] Karaboga D, Akay B. A survey: algorithms simulating bee swarm intelligence[J]. Artificial Intelligence Review, 2009, 31(14):6885. [14] 张强,李盼池,王梅. 基于自适应进化策略的人工蜂群优化算法[J]. 电子科技大学学报,2019,48(4):560566. Zhang Qiang, LI Pangchi, Wang Mei. Artificial bee colony optimization algorithm based on adaptive evolutionary strategy [J]. Journal of the university of electronic science and technology of China, 2019,48(4):560566. [15] 杜振鑫,刘广钟,韩德志,等. 基于全局无偏搜索策略的精英人工蜂群算法[J]. 电子学报,2018,46(2):308314. Du Zhenxin, Liu Guangzhong, Han Dezhi, et al. Elite artificial bee colony algorithm based on global unbiased search strategy [J]. Acta Electronica Sinica, 2008, 46(2):308314. [16] 张志强,鲁晓锋,孙钦东,等. 增强开发能力的改进人工蜂群算法[J]. 计算机应用,2019,39(4):949955. Zhang Zhiqiang, Lu Xiaofeng, Sun Qindong, et al. Improved artificial bee colony algorithm with enhanced development capability [J]. Computer Applications, 19, 39(4):949955. [17] 单娴,杜学东. 基于复数编码的多策略人工蜂群算法[J]. 系统工程学报,2018,33(5):597605. Shan Xian, Du Xuedong. Multi-strategy artificial bee colony algorithm based on complex number coding [J]. Chinese Journal of Systems Engineering, 2016, 33(5):597605. [18] 曹知奥,汪晋宽,韩英华,等. 基于交叉变异人工蜂群算法的微网优化调度[DB/OL]. [20200624].https://doi.org/10.13195/j.kzyjc.2019.0506. Cao Zhiao, Wang Jinkuan, Han Yinghua, et al. Optimization scheduling of micro grid based on crossover and mutation artificial bee colony algorithm [DB/OL]. [20200624]. https://doi.org/10.13195/j.kzyjc.2019.0506. [19] 张架鹏,倪志伟,倪丽萍,等. 基于改进离散人工蜂群算法的同类机调度优化[J]. 计算机应用,2020,40(3):689697. Zhang Jiapeng, Ni Zhiwei, Ni Liping, et al. Scheduling optimization of similar machines based on improved discrete artificial bee swarm algorithm [J]. Computer Applications, 202, 40(3):689697. [20] 赵明,宋晓宇,常春光. 改进人工蜂群算法及其在应急调度优化问题中的应用[J]. 计算机应用研究,2016,33(12):35963601. Zhao Ming, Song Xiaoyu, Chang Chunguang. Improved artificial bee colony algorithm and its application in emergency scheduling optimization problem [J]. Computer Application Research, 2016,33(12):35963601. [21] 陈美蓉,郭一楠,巩敦卫,等.一类新型动态多目标鲁棒进化优化方法[J].自动化学报,2017,43(11):20142032. Chen Meirong, Guo Yi'nan, Gong Dunwei, et al. A new dynamic multi-objective robust evolutionary optimization method [J]. Acta Automata Sinica, 2017,43(11):20142032. [22] 姚远远,叶春明,杨枫.双目标可重入混合流水车间调度问题的离散灰狼优化算法[J].运筹与管理,2019,28(8):190199. Yao Yuanyuan, Ye Chunming, Yang Feng. Discrete gray wolf optimization algorithm for dual-objective reentrant mixed flow shop scheduling problem [J]. Operations Research and Management, 2019,28(8):190199. [23] 郭一楠,刘丹丹,程健,等.自适应混合变异文化算法[J].电子学报,2011,39(8):19131918. Guo Yi'nan, Liu Dandan, Cheng Jian, et al. Adaptive hybrid variational cultural algorithm [J]. Acta Electronica Sinica,2011,39(8):19131918. [24] Gong D W, Han Y Y, Sun J Y. A novel hybrid multi-objective artificial bee colony algorithm for blocking lot-streaming flow shop scheduling problems[J]. KnowledgeBased Systems,2018,148:115130. [25] 陈刚,付江月.兼顾公平与效率的多目标应急物资分配问题研究[J].管理学报,2018,15(3):459466. Chen Gang, Fu Jiangyue. Research on multi-objective emergency supplies distribution with both fairness and efficiency [J]. Journal of Management, 2015, 15(3):459466.