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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2021, Vol. 18 Issue (2): 21-28    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.02.003
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止损策略与市场行为级联
张松明, 李红刚
北京师范大学系统科学学院,北京 100875
Stop-loss Strategy and Behavioral Cascade in the Asset Market
ZHANG Songming, LI Honggang
School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
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摘要 为研究止损交易对市场中交易者行为及资产价格的影响,基于多主体模型方法,构建了一个加入止损策略的多主体市场模型。模型模拟结果表明当市场中止损阈值被触及时,极易触发连续的止损交易,造成交易者之间的行为级联。这种交易级联会引致交易者行为的趋同性增强、市场中的买卖订单失衡、市场价格的异常崩跌和流动性黑洞。
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张松明
李红刚
关键词 止损策略多主体建模行为级联计算实验金融    
Abstract:In order to study the impact of stop-loss trading on traders′ behavior and asset prices in the market, this paper constructs a multi-agent market model with stop-loss strategy based on the method of agent-based computational finance. The model simulation results show that when the stop-loss threshold is touched in the market, it is easy to trigger continuous stop-loss trading, resulting in a behavioral cascade between traders. This kind of transaction cascading leads to an increase in the convergence of trader behavior, an imbalance between sell orders and buy orders in the market, an abnormal collapse in market prices and a liquidity black hole.
Key wordsstop-loss strategy    multi-agent modeling    behavior cascading    agent-based computational finance
收稿日期: 2020-09-05      出版日期: 2021-05-10
ZTFLH:  F830.9  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目(71671017)
通讯作者: 李红刚(1968-),男,湖北武汉人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为复杂系统理论、经济金融系统复杂性、风险管理与金融工程。   
作者简介: 张松明(1992-),男,黑龙江哈尔滨人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为金融风险与金融复杂系统。
引用本文:   
张松明, 李红刚. 止损策略与市场行为级联[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(2): 21-28.
ZHANG Songming, LI Honggang. Stop-loss Strategy and Behavioral Cascade in the Asset Market. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2021, 18(2): 21-28.
链接本文:  
http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.02.003      或      http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2021/V18/I2/21
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