Please wait a minute...
文章检索
复杂系统与复杂性科学  2021, Vol. 18 Issue (4): 9-20    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.04.002
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学研究
郑玉雯1, 薛伟贤2
1.西安工程大学管理学院,西安 710048;
2.西安理工大学经济与管理学院,西安 710048
System Dynamics on the Coupling of Production Network and Ecological Environment in the Silk Road Economic Belt
ZHENG Yuwen1, XUE Weixian2
1. School of Management,Xi'an Polytechnic University,Xi'an 710048,China;
2. College of Economic and Management,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China
全文: PDF(4248 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 为探索丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合演进的内在机制和规律。以复杂性科学为视角,运用系统动力学方法构建了丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学模型并进行仿真分析。阐释了自然演进型发展模式、生产网络加速型发展模式和生态环境保护型发展模式三种情景下,耦合系统的动态演化过程和演进规律;并揭示出丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境的耦合发展是以生产网络的跨越式发展为前提的。在“一带一路”倡议的驱动下,不断推进丝绸之路经济带生产网络发展演进进程,是促进丝绸之路经济带高质量可持续发展的有效路径。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
郑玉雯
薛伟贤
关键词 丝绸之路经济带生产网络生态环境耦合系统动力学    
Abstract:In order to explore the internal mechanism and laws of the evolution of the Silk Road Economic Belt production networks with ecological environment in the perspective of complexity science. System dynamics method is used to build the coupled system dynamic model, and simulation analysis is conducted. The coupling system dynamic evolution process and evolution rules are explained under three different scenarios: the evolution of natural development model, production network to accelerate development mode and development mode of ecological environment. It is found that the Silk Road Economic Belt production network and the coupling development of ecological environment is the premise of the evolution of the development of production networks. Driven by the Belt and Road Initiative, Continuously promoting the development and evolution of the production network of the Silk Road Economic Belt is an effective way to promote the high-quality and sustainable development of the Silk Road Economic Belt
Key wordsthe silk road economic belt    production network    ecological environment    coupling    system dynamics
收稿日期: 2020-11-22      出版日期: 2021-11-30
ZTFLH:  C94  
  F062.9  
基金资助:国家社会科学基金(17BJL005);国家自然科学基金青年项目(72103160)
通讯作者: 薛伟贤(1967-),男,陕西西安人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为管理科学与工程,区域发展与环境管理。   
作者简介: 郑玉雯(1984-),女,陕西西安人,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为社会经济系统与管理,系统工程。
引用本文:   
郑玉雯, 薛伟贤. 丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(4): 9-20.
ZHENG Yuwen, XUE Weixian. System Dynamics on the Coupling of Production Network and Ecological Environment in the Silk Road Economic Belt. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2021, 18(4): 9-20.
链接本文:  
http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.04.002      或      http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2021/V18/I4/9
[1]成思危. 复杂科学与系统工程[J]. 管理科学学报,1999(2):1-7.
Cheng Siwei. Complex science and systems engineering [J]. Journal of Management Science,1999(2):1-7.
[2]王建华,顾元勋,孙林岩.人地关系的系统动力学模型研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2003,23(1):128-131.
Wang Jianhua,Gu Yuanxun,Sun Linyan. Study on the system dynamics model of human-earth relations [J].System Engineering Theory and Practice,2003,23(1):128-131.
[3]王如松.复合生态系统、可持续发展与生态整合[J].中国科学院院刊,2012(403):337-345.
Wang Rusong. Complex ecosystem, sustainable development and ecological integration [J]. Proceedings of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2012(403):337-345.
[4]刘端直.论复杂系统演化理论的变革及其复杂性规律问题的探讨[J].系统科学学报,2012(2):5-8.
Liu Duanzhi. On the evolution of the complex system evolution theory and the discussion of its complexity law [J]. Journal of Systems Science,2012(2):5-8.
[5]Chorley R J.Atmosphere,weather and climate[J].New Zealand Geographer,1968,134(4):591.
[6]马世骏,王如松.社会-经济-自然复合生态系统[J].生态学报,1984(1):3-11.
Ma Shijun,Wang Rusong. Socio-economic-natural complex ecosystem [J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,1984(1):3-11.
[7]高菠阳,刘卫东,Norcliffe G,等.国际贸易壁垒对全球生产网络的影响——以中加自行车贸易为例[J].地理学报,2011,66(4):477-486.
Gao Liyang,Liu Weidong,Norcliffe G. The impact of international trade barriers on global production networks——a case study of China-Canada bicycle trade[J].Journal of Geographical,2011,66(4):477-486.
[8]黄光灿,王珏,马莉莉.中国制造业全球价值链分工地位核算研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2018,33(12):20-29.
Huang Guangcan,Wang Jue,Ma Lili. Research on the accounting of global value chain division of manufacturing industry in China[J].Statistics and Information Forum,2018,33(12):20-29.
[9]江红莉,何建敏.区域经济与生态环境系统动态耦合协调发展研究——基于江苏省的数据[J].软科学,2010,24(3):63-68.
Jiang Hongli,He Jianmin. Research on dynamic coupling and coordinated development of regional economy and ecological environment system——based on the data of Jiangsu province[J].Soft Science,2010,24(3):63-68.
[10] 韩瑞玲,佟连军,佟伟铭,等.沈阳经济区经济与环境系统动态耦合协调演化[J].应用生态学报,2011,22(10):2673-2680.
Han Ruiling,Tong Lianjun,Tong Weiming. Dynamic coupling and coordinated evolution of economic and environmental systems in Shenyang economic area[J].Journal of Applied Ecology,2011,22(10):2673-2680.
[11] 钱学森,于景元,戴汝为.一个科学新领域—开放的复杂巨系统及其方法论[J].自然杂志,1990,13(1):3-10.
Qian Xuesen,Yu Jingyuan,Dai Ruwei. A new field of science-open complex giant systems and their methodology [J].Chinese Journal of Nature,1990,13(1):3-10.
[12] 李培哲.产学研视角下高技术产业成长系统动力学研究[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2020,17(2):76-85.
Li Peizhe. Research on the growth system dynamics of high-tech industry from the perspective of industry-university-research institute[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2020,17(2):76-85.
[13] 樊杰.“人地关系地域系统”是综合研究地理格局形成与演变规律的理论基石[J].地理学报,2018,73(4):597-607.
Fan Jie.“Regional system of human-earth relations”is the theoretical foundation for the comprehensive study of the formation and evolution of geographical patterns [J].Journal of Geographical,2018,73(4):597-607.
[14] 贺灿飞,毛熙彦. 尺度重构视角下的经济全球化研究[J]. 地理科学进展,2015(9):3-13.
He Canfei,Mao Xiyan. Research on economic globalization from the perspective of scale reconstruction[J]. Progress in Geographical Science,2015(9):3-13.
[15] 戴汝为.系统科学及系统复杂性研究[J].系统仿真学报,2002,14(11):1411-1416.
Dai Ruwei. System science and system complexity research [J].Journal of System Simulation,2002,14(11):1411-1416.
[16] 武杰,刘煊,孙雅琪.复杂性科学的主要方法及其基本特征[J].系统科学学报,2016,24(4):28-33.
Wu Jie,Liu Xuan,Sun Yaqi. The main methods and basic characteristics of complexity science[J].Journal of Systems Science,2016,24(4):28-33.
[17] 方锦清,汪小帆,郑志刚. 网络科学的理论模型及其应用课题研究的若干进展[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学,2008,5(4):414-414.
Fang Jinqing,Wang Xiaofan,Zheng Zhigang. Some progress in the research of theoretical model and application of network science [J]. Complex System and Complexity Science,2008,5(4):414-414.
[18] 柯小玲,郭海湘,龚晓光. 基于系统动力学的武汉市生态安全预警仿真研究[J]. 管理评论, 2020,32(4):262-273.
Ke Xiaoling,Guo Meixiang,Gong Xiaoguang. Simulation of ecological security early warning in Wuhan Based on system dynamics[J]. Management Review,2020,32(4):262-273.
[19] 程根伟.大系统的分解与协调—同化容量的经济补偿原理研究[J].中国环境科学,1989,9(1):36-39.
Cheng Genwei. Decomposition and coordination of large systems-economic compensation principle of assimilation capacity[J].Environmental Science in China,1989,9(1):36-39.
[20] 薛伟贤,郑玉雯.生态文明视角下丝绸之路经济带复合生态系统构建研究[J].经济问题,2017(5):15-20.
Xue Weixian,Zheng Yuwen. Research on the construction of complex ecosystem of silk road economic belt from the perspective of ecological civilization[J].Economic Issue,2017(5):15-20.
[21] 柯颖,王述英.模块化生产网络:一种新产业组织形态研究[J].中国工业经济,2007(8):75-82.
Ke Ying,Wang Shuying. Modularized production network: research on a new industrial organization form [J].Chinese Industrial Economy,2007(8):75-82.
[22] 刘斌,赵晓斐.制造业投入服务化、服务贸易壁垒与全球价值链分工[J].经济研究,2020,55(7):159-174.
Liu Bin,Zhao Xiaofei. Servitization of manufacturing inputs, service trade barriers and division of global value chain[J].Economic Research,2020,55(7):159-174.
[23] 马延吉,艾小平.基于2030年可持续发展目标的吉林省城镇化可持续发展评价[J].地理科学,2019,39(3):487-495.
Ma Yanji,Ai Xiaoping. Sustainable development evaluation of urbanization in Jilin province based on 2030 sustainable development goals[J].Geographical Science,2019,39(3):487-495.
[24] 韩传峰,王忠礼,王增光.区域基础设施系统的复杂性与长效性[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2009,6(1):77-85.
Han Chuanfeng,Wang Zhongli,Wang Zengguang. Complexity and long-term performance of regional infrastructure system[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2009,6(1):77-85.
[25] 朱发仓,祝欣茹.中国基础设施资本存量净额与固定资本消耗估计研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2020,37(6):70-88.
Zhu Facang,Zhu Xinru. A study on the estimation of China′s Infrastructure capital stock net and fixed capital consumption [J]. Quantitative Economic and Technical Economic Research,2020,37(6):70-88.
[26] 于洋,张丽梅,陈才.我国东部地区经济—能源—环境—科技四元系统协调发展格局演变[J].经济地理,2019,39(7):14-21.
Yu Yang,Zhang Limei,Chen Cai. The coordinated development pattern of economy, energy, environment and science and technology in eastern China is evolving[J].Economic Geography,2019,39(7):14-21.
[27] 张旭昆.制度系统的性质及其对于演化的影响[J].经济研究,2004(12):114-122.
Zhang Xukun.The nature of institutional systems and their impact on evolution[J].Economic Research,2004(12):114-122.
[28] 王俭,韩婧男,胡成,等.城市复合生态系统共生模型及应用研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(2):291-296.
Wang Jian,Han Jingnan,Hu Cheng. Study on symbiosis model and application of urban composite Ecosystem [J]. China′s Population, Resources and Environment,2012,22(2):291-296.
[29] 杜运周,贾良定.组态视角与定性比较分析(QCA):管理学研究的一条新道路[J].管理世界,2017(6):155-167.
Du Yunzhou,Jia Liangding. Configuration perspective and qualitative comparative analysis (QCA):a new way of management research [J]. Management of the World,2017(6):155-167.
[30] 方锦清. 迅速发展的复杂网络研究与面临的挑战[J]. 自然杂志,2005(5):269-273.
Fang jinqing. Rapid development of complex network research and challenges[J]. Chinese Journal of Nature,2005(5):269-273.
[1] 石娟, 常丁懿, 郑鹏, 李冠龙, 周嘉尧. 基于SD-SEIR模型的实验室人员不安全行为传播研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(3): 67-74.
[2] 李卓群, 杨玉健, 黄克兢. 考虑风险规避行为的生鲜供应链系统动态研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(3): 51-59.
[3] 李晟婷, 周晓唯, 武增海. 中国环保产业高质量发展的异质性政策驱动研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(2): 66-80.
[4] 李培哲. 产学研视角下高技术产业成长系统动力学研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2020, 17(2): 76-85.
[5] 李春发, 薛楠楠, 王学敏, 来茜茜. “互联网+”手机回收模式影响因素:理论模型构建与SD仿真分析[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2019, 16(4): 44-55.
[6] 陈思谕, 邹艳丽, 王瑞瑞, 谭华珍. 电网输电线路耦合强度分配策略研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2018, 15(2): 45-53.
[7] 肖琴, 罗帆. 机场外来物风险监管策略的演化博弈研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2018, 15(2): 18-25.
[8] 郑国庆, 唐清干, 祝光湖. 两层星型网络上的传染病建模和控制[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2017, 14(4): 51-57.
[9] 董政呈, 方彦军, 田猛. 相互依存网络抗毁性研究综述[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2017, 14(3): 30-44.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed