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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2024, Vol. 21 Issue (1): 119-125    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.01.015
  研究论文 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于FOA-BP的风电运维人员不安全行为风险评价
常丁懿1,2, 石娟1, 瞿丽莉3, 何子春4, 张银龙4, 郑鹏4
1.天津理工大学管理学院,天津 300384;
2.天津体育学院体育经济与管理学院, 天津 301617;
3.西安热工研究院有限公司, 西安710054;
4.华电电力科学研究院有限公司, 杭州310030
Risk Evaluation of Unsafe Behavior of Wind Power Operation Personnel Based on FOA-BP
CHANG Dingyi1,2, SHI Juan1, QU Lili3, HE Zichun4, ZHANG Yinlong4, ZHENG Peng4
1. School of Management,Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384,China;
2. School of Sports Economics and Management, Tianjin University of Sport,Tianjin 301617,China;
3. Xi'an Thermal Power Research Institute Co, Ltd, Xi'an 710054,China;
4. Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co, Ltd, Hangzhou 310030,China
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摘要 为评价风电运维人员不安全行为风险,减少行为安全事故的发生,在确定不安全行为风险因素集合的基础上构建不安全行为风险评价指标体系,利用果蝇优化算法调整BP神经网络权值和阈值,建立基于FOA-BP的不安全行为风险评价模型。以某风电场为例收集数据对模型进行测试,实现不安全行为风险评价并计算风险评价指标权重。结果表明:该模型预测性能较好,能够评价不安全行为风险,企业可依据评价指标、指标权重值及风险等级制定针对性的防控措施。
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常丁懿
石娟
瞿丽莉
何子春
张银龙
郑鹏
关键词 果蝇优化算法风电运维不安全行为风险评价预测评价    
Abstract:In order to evaluate the risk of unsafe behavior of wind power operation and maintenance personnel and reduce the occurrence of behavioral safety accidents. On the basis of determining the set of risk factors of unsafe behavior, the risk evaluation index system of unsafe behavior is constructed. The weight and threshold of BP neural network were adjusted by fruit fly optimization algorithm, and an unsafe behavior risk assessment model based on FOA-BP was established. Taking a wind farm as an example to collect data, test the model, realize the risk evaluation of unsafe behavior, and calculate the weight of risk evaluation index. This model has good predictive performance and can evaluate the risk of unsafe behavior. Enterprises can develop targeted prevention and control measures according to the evaluation index, index weight value and risk level.
Key wordsfruit fly optimization algorithm    wind power operations    unsafe behavior    risk evaluation    prediction and evaluation
收稿日期: 2022-05-30      出版日期: 2024-04-26
ZTFLH:  X913.4  
  C931  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(71603181);中国华电集团有限公司科技项目(CHDKJ21-01-07);天津市研究生科研创新项目(2021YJSB243);天津市科学技术普及项目(21KPXMRC00080);天津市教委社会科学重大项目(2021JWZD15)
通讯作者: 郑鹏(1994-),男,山东济宁人,硕士,助理工程师,主要研究方向为新能源发电技术、安全系统工程。   
作者简介: 常丁懿(1995-),女,山西阳泉人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为复杂系统管理,安全管理工程。
引用本文:   
常丁懿, 石娟, 瞿丽莉, 何子春, 张银龙, 郑鹏. 基于FOA-BP的风电运维人员不安全行为风险评价[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2024, 21(1): 119-125.
CHANG Dingyi, SHI Juan, QU Lili, HE Zichun, ZHANG Yinlong, ZHENG Peng. Risk Evaluation of Unsafe Behavior of Wind Power Operation Personnel Based on FOA-BP[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2024, 21(1): 119-125.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.01.015      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2024/V21/I1/119
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[1] 石娟, 常丁懿, 郑鹏, 李冠龙, 周嘉尧. 基于SD-SEIR模型的实验室人员不安全行为传播研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(3): 67-74.
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