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基于投入产出分析的农业产品价格政策模拟

  • 骆乐 ,
  • 方逸伦 ,
  • 骆乐 ,
  • 方逸伦
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  • 山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东 泰安 271000
骆乐(1981),男,江苏镇江人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。方逸伦(1999),女,山东烟台人,大学本科生,主要研究方向为农业经济复杂性。

网络出版日期: 2020-06-24

基金资助

山东省社科规划项目(18CZKJ25)

Policy Simulation of Agricultural Product Price Based on Input-Output Analysis

  • LUO Le ,
  • FANG Yilun ,
  • LUO Le ,
  • FANG Yilun
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  • School of Economics and Management, Shandong Agricultural University, Tai’an 271000, China

Online published: 2020-06-24

摘要

为研究农业产品价格变动对其它产业价格的影响,利用国家统计局投入产出数据,建立投入产出模型进行农业产品价格政策模拟。研究结果表明,2017年农业产品价格上涨对与之关联较强的少数部门有一定影响,对大多数部门影响不大,且和往年相比,年度差异较小,因此政府应允许农业产品价格在大众可接受范围内波动。

本文引用格式

骆乐 , 方逸伦 , 骆乐 , 方逸伦 . 基于投入产出分析的农业产品价格政策模拟[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2020 , 17(2) : 67 -75 . DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.02.008

Abstract

In order to investigate how the agricultural product price influences the other product prices, we establish an input-output analysis model to conduct a policy simulation of agricultural product price by using the data from the National Bureau of Statistics. The results show that raising the price of agricultural product has a certain impact on minority industrial sectors which have strong relevancy with agriculture, and it has little impact on majority industrial sectors. Compared with the previous years, the differences between every two years are very small. The government should allow the price of the agricultural product to fluctuate in an acceptable range for the most people.

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