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几类传染病模型中基本再生数的计算

  • 崔玉美 ,
  • 陈姗姗 ,
  • 傅新楚 ,
  • 崔玉美 ,
  • 陈姗姗 ,
  • 傅新楚
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  • 上海大学数学系,上海 200444
崔玉美(1993-),女,山东济南人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为动力系统与复杂网络。

收稿日期: 2017-05-08

  网络出版日期: 2019-01-16

基金资助

国家自然科学基金(11572181);高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20123108110002)

The Thresholds of Some Epidemic Models

  • CUI Yumei ,
  • CHEN Shanshan ,
  • FU Xinchu ,
  • CUI Yumei ,
  • CHEN Shanshan ,
  • FU Xinchu
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  • College of Sciences, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China

Received date: 2017-05-08

  Online published: 2019-01-16

摘要

通过参考大量文献,系统整理了几类经典的传染病模型,并对传染病模型基本再生数的几种导出方法做了一个综述。文中综合了传染病动力学模型的分析方法和复杂网络理论,分别从基本再生数的定义,初始时刻染病者的单调性,正平衡点的存在性,无病平衡点的局部稳定性,即通过计算基本再生矩阵或者雅克比矩阵的特征值,数值模拟,这几个角度给出了基本再生数的导出方法,并举例说明了几类主要的传染病模型,特别是网络传播模型中基本再生数的计算方法,给出了基本再生数的特点,并对基本再生数时变的情况进行了具体分析。

本文引用格式

崔玉美 , 陈姗姗 , 傅新楚 , 崔玉美 , 陈姗姗 , 傅新楚 . 几类传染病模型中基本再生数的计算[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2017 , 14(4) : 14 -31 . DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2017.04.002

Abstract

This paper introduces the derivation of basic reproduction numbers for several epidemic models. The basic reproduction number plays an important role in describing the dynamic behavior of infectious disease models,which is an important indicator to determine the prevalence of diseases. Therefore, the basic reproductive number is a significant reference for the prevention and control of diseases and the immunization strategy. The basic reproduction numbers can be derived by means of the definition, the monotonicity of the infected individuals at the initial moment, the existence of the positive equilibrium and the local stability of the disease-free equilibrium, the numerical simulation,respectively. This paper introduces many epidemic models especially network model and calculates their basic reproduction numbers. Finally, we analyze the changes in the basic reproduction numbers during different periods.

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