文章检索

基于避险行为的银行间网络系统性风险传染研究

  • 韩景倜 ,
  • 曹宇 ,
  • 韩景倜 ,
  • 曹宇
展开
  • 1.上海财经大学a.信息管理与工程学院,b.实验中心,上海 200433;
    2.上海市金融信息技术研究重点实验室,上海 200433
韩景倜(1959-),男,陕西西安人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为复杂系统理论、应急金融风险。

收稿日期: 2015-05-24

  修回日期: 2016-09-28

  网络出版日期: 2025-02-24

基金资助

国家自然科学基金(61374177,71271126);教育部博士点专项创新基金(20120078110002)

Systemic Risk Contagion of Interbank Network Based on Risk-Averse Behaviors

  • HAN Jingti ,
  • CAO Yu ,
  • HAN Jingti ,
  • CAO Yu
Expand
  • 1. a.School of Information Management and Engineering,b.Laboratory Center, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433, China;
    2. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Financial Information Technology,Shanghai 200433,China

Received date: 2015-05-24

  Revised date: 2016-09-28

  Online published: 2025-02-24

摘要

建立了一个基于避险行为的银行间网络模型,研究了异质性网络结构和异质性银行资产条件下流动性囤积避险行为、折价出售避险行为以及避险行为叠加对系统性风险传染的影响。结果表明,流动性囤积在初始阶段减缓了系统性风险传染,折价出售没有延缓系统性风险传染,而避险行为的叠加从整体上加剧了系统性风险传染。考虑避险行为时,异质性网络稳定性强于同质性网络,不考虑避险行为时,同质性的随机网络更加稳定。最后,银行资产异质性对系统性风险传染没有显著影响。

本文引用格式

韩景倜 , 曹宇 , 韩景倜 , 曹宇 . 基于避险行为的银行间网络系统性风险传染研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2017 , 14(1) : 75 -80 . DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2017.01.011

Abstract

We build an interbank network model based on risk-averse behaviors. On a heterogeneous network structure, we explore the relationship between risk-averse behaviors of banks and systemic risk contagion, specifically, liquidity hoarding, fire sales behaviors and the composition of risk-averse behaviors. The simulation results show that liquidity hoarding behaviors mitigate systemic risk contagion at early stage, fire sales behaviors have little effect on mitigating systemic risk contagion and the composition of risk-averse behaviors exacerbate the systemic risk contagion. Heterogeneous network is more robust than the homogenous network if risk-averse behaviors exist, otherwise the homogeneous network is more stable. Furthermore, bank asset heterogeneity has no significant effect on systemic risk contagion.

参考文献

[1] Allen F, Gale D. Financial contagion[J].Journal of Political Economy, 2000, 108(1): 1-33.
[2] Gai P, Kapadia S. Contagion in financial networks[J].Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2010, 466(2120): 2401-2423.
[3] Nier E, Yang J, Yorulmazer T, Alentorn A. Network models and financial stability[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2007, 31(346): 2033-2060.
[4] 邓晶,曹诗男,潘焕学,等.基于银行间市场网络的系统性风险传染研究[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2013,10(4):76-85.
Deng Jing, Cao Shinan, Pan Huanxue, et al.Systemic risk contagion based on interbank networks[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2013,10(4):76-85.
[5] Diamond D W, Dybvig P H. Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity[J].The Journal of Political Economy, 1983: 401-419.
[6] Anand K, Gai P, Marsili M. Rollover risk, network structure and systemic financial crises[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, 36(8): 1088-1100.
[7] Arinaminpathy N, Kapadia S, May R M. Size and complexity in model financial systems[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2012, 109(45): 18338-18343.
[8] Matthew E, Golub B, Jackson MO. Financial networks and contagion[J].American Economic Review, 2014, 104(10): 3115-3153.
[9] 范宏,李佳妮.基于不同投资行为的动态银行网络稳定性研究[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学. 2014, 11(4): 72-79.
Fan Hong, Li Jiani.Stability of a dynamical bank network based on different investment behaviors[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 11(4): 72-79.
[10] Caballero R J, Simsek A. Complexity and financial panics[G/OL].[2015-02-03].www.nber.org/papers/wl4997.
[11] Acharya V V, Skeie D. A model of liquidity hoarding and term premia in inter-bank markets[J].Journal of Monetary Economics, 2011, 58(5): 436-447.
[12] Caballero R J, Alp S. Fire sales in a model of complexity[J].The Journal of Finance, 2013, 68(6): 2549-2587.
[13] Gómez-Gardees J, Moreno Y. From scale-free to Erdos-Renyi networks[J].Physical Review E, 2006, 73(5):056124.
[14] Caccioli F, Thomas A, Catanach J, Farmer D. Heterogeneity, correlations and financial contagion[J].Advances in Complex Systems, 2011, 15(5):438-456.
[15] Brunnermeier M K, Pedersen L H. Market liquidity and funding liquidity[J].Review of Financial Studies, 2009, 22(6):2201-2238.
文章导航

/

〈 〉