首先分析了恐怖组织从个体到群体、群体到网络的发展过程;提出和构建了一个恐怖组织群体网络的模型;对其网络演化过程进行了分析,并初探了其中一个最简单模型的动力学方程及其特性;最后,提出和简评对网络恐怖组织的控制方法。
This paper first analyzes the terrorist groups from the individual to the group, the development of the group to the network, in secondely, was proposed and constructed a model of a terrorist group network;Third, evolution process of the terrorism group network has analyzed; And the movement of one of the most simple model of dynamic equation and its features. Finally, put forward and the profile of network control method of terrorist organizations.
[1] Collin B C. The future of cyberterrorism: where the physical and virtual worlds converge[J].Crime and Justice International,1997,13(2):14-18.
[2] Uniting and strengthening America by providling appropriate tools required to intercept and obstruct terrorism (USA PATRIOT ACT) act of 2001[DB/OL].[2015-01-30].http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-107publ56/content-detail.html.
[3] Arquilla J, Ronfeldt D. Networks and Netwars: the Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy[M].Santa Monica, Calif: RAND Corporation,2001:20-24.
[4] Barabási A L, Frangos J. Linked: the New Science of Networks Science of Networks[M].New York: Basic Books,2002.
[5] Draft comprehensive convention against international terrorism[R].United Nations General Assembly, A/59/894, 2005:1-15.
[6] Henry H W, Andrew R M, Terrence K K, et al. Estimating Terrorism Risk[M].USA:RAND Corporation, 2005:1-150.
[7] 2008 report on terrorism[R].USA: the National Counterterroirsm Center, 2009.
[8] 张家栋.全球化时代的恐怖主义及其治理[M].上海:上海三联书店,2007.
[9] 高铭暄,王俊平.恐怖组织界定[J].国家检察官学院学报,2006,14(2):86-89.
Gao Mingxuan, Wang Junping. On the definition of terroristic organization[J].Journal of National Procurators College,2006:14(2):86-89.
[10] 何秉松.后拉登时代国际反恐斗争的基本态势和战略[M].北京:法律出版社,2012.
[11] 邓碧波.恐怖主义组织的要素、活动及其预防[J].南京政治学院学报,2009,25(5):78.
Deng Bibo. Feather, activity, preventation of terrorism group[J].Journal of PLA Nanjing Institute of Politics,2009,25(5):78.
[12] 李本先,方锦清,江成俊,等.恐怖组织网络的心理学与动力学分析:从个体到群体[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2014,11(2):87-92.
Li Benxian, Fang Jinqing, Jiang Chengjun, et al. Psychology and dynamical analysis of terrorism organization: from individual to group[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2014,11(2):87-92.
[13] Pastor-Satorras R, Castellano C, Van Mieghem P, et al. Epidemic processes in complex networks[J].Review of Modern Physics,2014,87(3):120-131.
