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Sampling Strategy of COVID-19 Based on Social Network Information
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ZUO Zijian, ZHANG Lin, WU Ye, XU Xiaoke
Complex Systems and Complexity Science. 2023, 20 (3): 20-26.
DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.03.003
The cost of regular nucleic acid testing for all staff is high, resulting in long intervals and low efficiency. This paper presents a sampling strategy based on social network information, integrates online social network information with the spread of COVID-19, and establishes a novel coronavirus spread model with a sampling strategy. On this basis, this paper studies the impact of three strategies on the spread of new coronary pneumonia, namely random sampling strategy, acquaintance monitoring strategy, and large node target sampling monitoring strategy. The study found that the random monitoring strategy is better than the random monitoring strategy in the three indicators of peak amplitude, peak time, and early warning in the specific situation of the campus environment, reducing the number of days of new coronavirus transmission and the number of infected people, and more. To control the epidemic earlier and faster, the early warning effect is from high to low: target monitoring strategy for large nodes, acquaintance monitoring strategy, and random monitoring strategy.
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Signed Prediction Algorithm Based on Structural Balance Theory and Status Theory
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CUI Xiaoli, XUE Leyang, ZHANG Peng
Complex Systems and Complexity Science. 2023, 20 (3): 68-73.
DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.03.009
Aiming at the difficulty of balancing the accuracy and complexity of the sign prediction algorithm, this paper effectively integrates the law of social development and the local characteristics of the network, and proposes a sign prediction algorithm based on structural balance theory and status theory to calculate the similarity of nodes. In order to better combine the contribution of the above two theories to the similarity score of the two nodes, this paper uses the regulator to sum the similarity score based on the two theories according to the weight of the regulator, and the positive or negative of the similarity score is the result predicted by the edge symbol. Finally, the algorithm is tested on several different data sets and compared with the classical CN algorithm and PSNBS algorithm in two aspects of prediction accuracy and algorithm complexity. The proposed algorithm is very close to the classical algorithm in terms of prediction accuracy, but in terms of time complexity, it is an order of magnitude lower than the classical algorithm.It is obviously better than classical algorithm.
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Operation Strategies in Dual-channel Low Carbon Supply Chain Considering Lag Effect and Reference Effect
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ZANG Xinming, CHU Tao, ZHONG Yongguang
Complex Systems and Complexity Science. 2023, 20 (3): 82-89.
DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.03.011
This paper comprehensively considers the impacts of abatement investment’s lag effect and consumer’s low carbon reference effect on the market demand and brand goodwill, constructs a dual-channel low carbon supply chain system consisting of a manufacturer and a retailer, and adopts optimal control theory to compare and analyze the members’ operation strategies, product low-carbon level, brand goodwill, and overall profit under the decentralized, centralized, and cost sharing decision-making modes. The study finds that reference effect always mobilizes the manufacturer′s enthusiasm for low-carbon production, improves the steady-state value of low-carbon level of product and brand goodwill, and discourages companies from advertising investment; It is meaningful for members of the low carbon supply chain to adopt the centralized decision-making mode only when the delay time is below a certain threshold; The delay time raises consumer’s psychological expectation of the low-carbon level of product, reference effect intensifies the impact of delay time on the overall profit of supply chain under different decision mechanisms.
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Game Simulation of Water Resource Conflict Evolution in Transboundary Rivers
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YUAN Liang, QI Yuzhi, HE Weijun, LI Wenqin, WU Xia
Complex Systems and Complexity Science. 2023, 20 (3): 90-96.
DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.03.012
In order to analyze the influence of individual behavioral characteristics and decision making preferences on the evolution of water resources conflicts, the authors introduced prospect theory into the evolution game of transboundary river water resources conflict analysis, applied the prospect value function to construct the perceived benefit matrix of the water resource conflicts between upstream and downstream regions, used evolutionary games to analyze the evolutionary paths and results of decision-making behaviors of upstream and downstream regions, and constructed a system dynamics model for simulation analysis. The results show that: upstream and downstream regions need to meet the complex game conditions for selection of the cooperation strategy set, and when the perceived cost of active water release from upstream, the perceived income of passive water release from upstream, the perceived cost of active pursuit increase from the downstream, and the perceived costs of water conflict risks decrease, the probability of choosing the cooperation strategy set will be reduced, and water resources conflict will occur.
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Multi-task Sensing Algorithm for Driverless Vehicle Based on Feature Fusion
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SUN Chuanlong, ZHAO Hong, CUI Xiangyu, MU Liang, XU Fuliang, LU Laiwei
Complex Systems and Complexity Science. 2023, 20 (3): 103-110.
DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.03.014
In order to improve the utilization of hardware resources of driverless vehicle perception system, a multi-task driverless vehicle perception algorithm based on feature fusion is constructed. The improved CSPDarknet53 is used as the backbone network of the model, and multi-scale features are extracted and fused by constructing feature fusion network and feature fusion module. The detection of 7 common road objects and pixel-level segmentation of the driving area are taken as examples. Multi-task DaSNet (Detection and Segmentation Net) is designed for training and testing. In order to compare model performance, BDD100K data set is used to train YOLOv5s, Faster R-CNN and U-NET models, and comparative analysis is made on mAP, Dice coefficient and detection speed and other performance indicators. The results showed that DaSNet multi-task model′s mAP value is 0.5% and 4.2% higher than YOLOv5s and Faster RCNN, respectively, and the detection speed of 121FPS can be achieved on RTX2080Ti GPU. Compared with U-NET network, Dice value of segmentation in priority and non-priority drivable are 4.4% and 6.8% higher, showing an obvious improvement.
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