Abstract:The “Internet +” mobile phone recycling mode makes it possible to recycle obsolete mobiles in a convenient, efficient, normative and safe way. In order to reveal the influence of different factors on the operating performance of the recycling mode, the functional structure and influencing factor system of the recycling mode were analyzed based on four links, including supply, collection, recycling and sales. Accordingly, the theoretical model of the interaction among the factors was established by using the method of system dynamics. Finally, the effects of each link and its factors were simulated by changing the government capital investment. The results show that supply and collection links play significant roles in operating performance and are sensitive to capital input, while recycling and sales links have a delayed response. Consumers' perceived risk, perceived benefits and platform's service quality are dominant factors for the improvement of recycling performance. The poor economic benefits of recycler and the inactivity of second-hand platform are the main restraining factors.
李春发, 薛楠楠, 王学敏, 来茜茜. “互联网+”手机回收模式影响因素:理论模型构建与SD仿真分析[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2019, 16(4): 44-55.
LI Chunfa, XUE Nannan, WANG Xuemin, LAI Xixi. Factors Influencing the “Internet +” Mobile Phone Recycling Mode: Theoretical Model Construction and SD Simulation Analysis. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2019, 16(4): 44-55.
[1]杨德明, 刘泳文. “互联网+”为什么加出了业绩[J]. 中国工业经济, 2018, 362(5): 81-99. Yang Deming, Liu Yongwen. Why can internet plus increase performance[J], China Industrial Economics, 2018, 362(5): 80-98. [2]爱回收大数据: 回收市场三年巨变[DB/OL]. (2018-01-05) [2018-10-30]. http://mi.techweb.com.cn/tmt/2018-01-05/2626173.shtml. [3]Tan Q, Duan H, Liu L, et al. Rethinking residential consumers’ behavior in discarding obsolete mobile phones in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 195: 1228-1236. [4]Liu J, Bai H, Zhang Q, et al. Why are obsolete mobile phones difficult to recycle in China?[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019, 141: 200-210. [5]Bai H, Wang J, Zeng A Z. Exploring Chinese consumers’ attitude and behavior toward smartphone recycling[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 188: 227-236. [6]Wang B, Ren C, Dong X, et al. Determinants shaping willingness towards on-line recycling behavior: an empirical study of household e-waste recycling in China[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019, 143: 218-225. [7]Xiang Z, Xu M. Dynamic cooperation strategies of the closed-loop supply chain involving the internet service platform[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, 220: 1180-1193. [8]李春发, 王学敏, 来茜茜, 等. “互联网+”手机回收模式缘何绩效不彰?——基于mABM的演化博弈仿真分析[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2019, 16(1):63-73. Li Chunfa, Wang Xuemin, Lai Xixi, et al. Why is the “Internet+” mobile phone recycling mode ineffective?—An analysis of evolutionary game simulation based on mABM[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2019, 16(1):63-73. [9]许民利, 李圣兰, 郑杰. “互联网+回收”情境下基于演化博弈的电子废弃物回收合作机理研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2018, 27(9): 91-102. Xu Minli, Li Shenglan, Zheng Jie. Cooperation mechanism of e-waste recycling in “internet+recycling”[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2018, 27(9): 91-102. [10] 余福茂, 何柳琬. 中国电子垃圾回收企业的环保意识及行为的影响因素分析研究—以浙江为例[J]. 环境科学与管理, 2014, 39(1): 20-24. Yu Fumao, He Liuwan. Influencing factors for environmental protection consciousness and behavior of e-waste recycling companies in Zhejiang[J]. Environmental Science and Management, 2014, 39(1): 20-24. [11] 付小勇, 朱庆华, 窦一杰. 政府管制下处理商选择拆解方式的演化博弈研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2012, 22(1): 70-76. Fu Xiaoyong, Zhu Qinghua, Dou YiJie. Research on the processors selecting dismantling method based on the evolutionary game under government regulating[J]. China Population Resources and Environment,2012,22(1):70-76. [12] Ardi R, Leisten R. Assessing the role of informal sector in WEEE management systems: a system dynamics approach[J]. Waste Management, 2016, 57: 3-16. [13] Weelden E V, Mugge R, Bakker C. Paving the way towards circular consumption: exploring consumer acceptance of refurbished mobile phones in the dutch market[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2016, 113: 743-754. [14] Mugge R, Jockin B, Bocken N. How to sell refurbished smartphones? an investigation of different customer groups and appropriate incentives[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 147: 284-296. [15] Yao L, Liu T, Chen X, et al. An integrated method of life-cycle assessment and system dynamics for waste mobile phone management and recycling in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 187: 852-862. [16] Fan C, Fan S K S, Wang C S, et al. Modeling computer recycling in Taiwan using system dynamics[J]. Resources Conservation & Recycling, 2018, 128: 167-175. [17] Nowakowski P, Mrówczyńska B. Towards sustainable WEEE collection and transportation methods in circular economy-comparative study for rural and urban settlements[J]. Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 2018, 135: 93-107. [18] 董志, 李秀婷, 董纪昌. 基于系统动力学的我国融资结构仿真研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2016, 36(5): 1109-1117. Dong Zhi, Li Xiuting, Dong Jichang. Simulation of financing structure based on system dynamics[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2016, 36(5):1109-1117. [19] 罗斌, 张翼飞. 中国农村居民电价的关键影响因素及系统动力学仿真分析[J]. 中国软科学, 2015(4): 165-172. Luo Bin, Zhang Yifei. A study on key determinants and simulation analysis of Chinese rural residential electricity price based on system dynamics[J]. China Soft Science Magazine, 2015(4): 165-172. [20] Fu J R, Ju P H, Hsu C W. Understanding why consumers engage in electronic word-of-mouth communication: perspectives from theory of planned behavior and justice theory[J]. Electronic Commerce Research & Applications, 2015, 14(6): 616-630. [21] 王昶, 吕夏冰, 孙桥. 居民参与“互联网+回收”意愿的影响因素研究[J]. 管理学报, 2017, 14(12): 1847-1854. Wang Chang, Lü Xiabing, Sun Qiao.A study on the influencing factors of residents' participation in “online collection”[J]. Chinese Journal of Management, 2017, 14(12): 1847-1854. [22] 钟永光, 贾晓菁, 钱颖. 系统动力学[M]. 第2版. 北京: 科学出版社, 2013: 3-9. [23] 王其藩. 高级系统动力学[M]. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 1995: 3-10. [24] 赛诺中国. 沉默的巨矿-2017年手机回收市场研究[DB/OL].(2018-03-07) [2018-11-30]. http://cn.sino-mr.com/index. [25] 中国产业研究院. 2018-2023年中国手机回收行业市场调研分析与发展前景预测报告[DB/OL].(2018-05-09) [2018-12-15]. http://www.chinairn.com/report/20180524/094806257.html?id=1645942&name=zyph. [26] 曹玉红, 尤建新, 王瑞. 基于系统动力学模型的社会组织筹资机制研究[J]. 管理工程学报, 2018, 32(3): 195-205. Cao Yuhong,You Jianxin,Wang Rui. Research on funding mechanism of social organization based on system dynamics model[J].Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 2018, 32(3): 195-205. [27] 贾书伟, 严广乐. 组合政策下建筑废弃物管理模型的动态仿真[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2018, 38(11):2966-2978. Jia Shuwei, Yan Guangle. Dynamic simulation of construction waste management model under combination policies. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2018, 32(3): 195-20. [28] 张其春, 郗永勤. 城市废弃物资源化利用网络的脆弱性及影响机理[J]. 经济管理, 2016(10): 168-183. Zhang Qichun, Xi Yongqin. A study on vulnerability and influence mechanism of network for municipal waste resource utilization[J].Economic Management,2016(10):168-183. [29] 程启月. 评测指标权重确定的结构熵权法[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2010, 30(7):1225-1228. Cheng Qiyue. Structure entropy weight method to confirm the weight of evaluating index[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2010, 30(7):1225-1228. [30] 周雄勇, 许志端, 郗永勤. 中国节能减排系统动力学模型及政策优化仿真[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2018, 38(6): 1422-1444. Zhou Xiongyong, Xu Zhirui, Xi Yongqin. The system dynamic model and policy optimized simulation of energy conservation and emission reduction in China[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2018, 38(6): 1422-1444.