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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2022, Vol. 19 Issue (4): 55-63    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2022.04.008
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涉恐个体极端思想演化双阈值观点动力学模型
王一伊1,2, 卜凡亮1
1.中国人民公安大学, 北京 100038;
2.北京警察学院, 北京 102202
A Dual-threshold Viewpoint Dynamic Model for the Evolution of Individual Extreme Thoughts in the Context of Terrorism
WANG Yiyi1,2, BU Fanliang1
1. People's Public Security University of China, Beijing 100038 China;
2. Beijing Police College, Beijing 102202,China
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摘要 为理解涉恐背景下个体极端化过程,有效预防极端意识形态蔓延,在观点动力学Hegselmann-Krause模型基础之上,提出一种极端思想演化双阈值观点动力学模型。仿真实验表明交互范围、人口及社会网络结构对极端思想演化过程产生显著影响。 模型整合了极端观点传播过程中个体特质,社会关系及社会环境三方面因素,从一定程度上揭示了涉恐背景下个体极端思想演化的规律。
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王一伊
卜凡亮
关键词 观点动力学恐怖主义极端化极端思想    
Abstract:In order to understand the process of individual extremism in the context of terrorism and effectively prevent the spread of extremist ideology. Based on the Hegselmann-Krause model of opinion dynamics, this paper proposes a dual-threshold opinion dynamics model for the evolution of individual extreme thoughts in the context of terrorism. Simulation experiments found that the interaction scope, different population structures and social network structures have significant influence on the evolution process of extreme thoughts. The model integrates three factors: individual characteristics, social relations and social environment in the process of extreme opinion dissemination,and the simulation calculation experiment reveals to a certain extent the law of the evolution of individual extreme thoughts in the context of terrorism.
Key wordsopinion dynamics    terrorism    extreme    extreme thoughts
收稿日期: 2021-07-12      出版日期: 2023-01-09
ZTFLH:  TP391.9  
基金资助:北京市优秀人才培养资助项目(2018000020052G014)
通讯作者: 卜凡亮(1965-),男,北京人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为反恐与应急疏散。   
作者简介: 王一伊(1989-),女,辽宁抚顺人,博士研究生,副教授,主要研究方向为反恐与应急疏散、防范学、重大活动安保。
引用本文:   
王一伊, 卜凡亮. 涉恐个体极端思想演化双阈值观点动力学模型[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2022, 19(4): 55-63.
WANG Yiyi, BU Fanliang. A Dual-threshold Viewpoint Dynamic Model for the Evolution of Individual Extreme Thoughts in the Context of Terrorism. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2022, 19(4): 55-63.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2022.04.008      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2022/V19/I4/55
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