Please wait a minute...
文章检索
复杂系统与复杂性科学  2025, Vol. 22 Issue (3): 129-137    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2025.03.017
  研究论文 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
公众参与下“征信修复”乱象治理的随机演化博弈
陈伟杰, 张涛, 汤玉秀
重庆师范大学经济与管理学院,重庆 401331
Stochastic Evolutionary Game of “Credit Investigation Repair” Chaos Management Under Public Participation
CHEN Weijie, ZHANG Tao, TANG Yuxiu
School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331, China
全文: PDF(3842 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 针对信用修复实施过程中的征信乱象问题,构建政府、信用机构及公众的三方随机演化博弈模型,借鉴Itô随机微分方程理论分析了主体行为策略的稳定性,并结合数值仿真剖析了关键变量对博弈主体动态演化的影响。研究表明:社会信用环境较差时,政府引导作用尤为凸显;社会信用环境较好时,政府应实施分期分级监管,以避免“监管俘虏”现象;公众辨识度和政府监管效率的提升,有助于增强征信乱象治理效果;信用机构对奖励参数的敏感度大于惩罚参数,政府需设置合理的奖惩措施。最后,基于研究结论提出相关建议,为征信乱象治理和社会信用环境的健康发展提供了有效思路。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
陈伟杰
张涛
汤玉秀
关键词 征信修复乱象整治公众参与随机演化博弈仿真分析    
Abstract:In response to the issue of credit chaos during credit repair implementation, this study constructs a tripartite stochastic evolutionary game model which involves the government, credit agencies, and the public. Leveraging Itô stochastic differential equation theory, the stability of behavioral strategies for the subjects is analyzed, and combined with numerical simulation to analyze the influence of key variables on the dynamic evolution of game players. The research results reveal that government guidance plays a prominent role in poor social credit environments. In a favorable social credit environment, the government should implement phased and graded regulation to avoid “regulatory capture”. As public recognition and government regulation improve, the effectiveness of governance experiences significant enhancement. Moreover, credit agencies display greater sensitivity to reward parameters than penalty parameters, necessitating the implementation of reasonable incentive and punitive measures by the government. Finally, relevant suggestions are made based on the research findings, which provide effective ideas for the governance of credit chaos and the healthy development of the social credit environment.
Key wordscredit investigation repair    disorder regulation    public participation    stochastic evolutionary game    simulation analysis
收稿日期: 2023-03-31      出版日期: 2025-10-09
ZTFLH:  F224.32  
  F832.4  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金青年项目(71901044)
通讯作者: 张涛(1998-),男,河北保定人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为企业信用评价与修复、博弈分析。   
作者简介: 陈伟杰(1979-),女,山东日照人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为不确定性决策、信用风险评估研究。
引用本文:   
陈伟杰, 张涛, 汤玉秀. 公众参与下“征信修复”乱象治理的随机演化博弈[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2025, 22(3): 129-137.
CHEN Weijie, ZHANG Tao, TANG Yuxiu. Stochastic Evolutionary Game of “Credit Investigation Repair” Chaos Management Under Public Participation[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2025, 22(3): 129-137.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2025.03.017      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2025/V22/I3/129
[1] 国家发改委. 失信行为纠正后的信用信息修复管理办法(试行)[EB/OL]. (2023-01-13)[2023-08-06]. https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/zcfb/fzggwl/202301/t20230117_1346719.html.
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION. Administrative measures for repairing credit information after correcti-on of default behavior (trial)[EB/OL]. (2023-01-13)[2023-08-06]. https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/zcfb/fzggwl/202301/t20230117_1346719.html.
[2] 徐龙, 张葳. 治理我国“征信修复”乱象的几点思考[J].征信, 2022,40(12): 50-53.
XU L, ZHANG W. Some thoughts on governing the chaos of “credit investigation repair” in China[J]. Credit Reference, 2022, 40(12): 50-53.
[3] 国家发改委. 关于重点开展“征信修复”问题专项治理的通知[EB/OL]. (2022-03-16)[2023-08-06]. https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/zcfb/tz/202203/t20220330_1320932.html.
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION. Notice on the focus of “credit repair” issues special management[EB/OL]. (2022-03-16)[2023-08-06]. https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/zcfb/tz/202203/t20220330_1320932.html.
[4] 张雪林, 季云青. 征信市场乱象的根源及治理路径探究——来自新疆喀什地区的证据[J].征信, 2022,40(1): 71-76.
ZHANG X L, JI Y Q. Research on the root causes and governance path of chaos in credit reporting market: evidence from Kashi region, Xinjiang[J]. Credit Reference, 2022,40(1): 71-76.
[5] 廖理. 我国个人征信业发展现状及思考[J].人民论坛, 2019,28(20): 76-77.
LIAO L. China′s personal credit industry development status and thinking[J]. People′s Tribune, 2019,28(20): 76-77.
[6] 邓建鹏. 个人征信业监管政策改革的法制思考[J].暨南学报(哲学社会科学版), 2022,44(4): 48-56.
DENG J P. Legal thinking on the supervision policy of China’s consumer credit report market[J]. Jinan Journal (Philosophy & Social Sciences), 2022,44(4): 48-56.
[7] 于洁, 冯冰娜, 樊博. 协同治理视角下互联网金融征信治理问题研究[J].电子政务, 2015,12(11): 15-24.
YU J, FENG B N, FAN B. Research on the governance of Internet financial credit from the perspective of cooperative governance[J]. E-Government, 2015,12(11): 15-24.
[8] 尚琳琳. 推进社会信任建设的三个抓手[J].人民论坛, 2019,28(24): 148-149.
SHANG L L. Three grips for advancing social trust building[J]. People′s Tribune, 2019,28(24): 148-149.
[9] 杨慧, 王艺霏. 个体理性与集体理性:现代征信体系行动难题的产生与消解[J].中国特色社会主义研究, 2023,29(1): 47-58,2.
YANG H, WANG Y F. Individual rationality and collective rationality: emerging and resolving of issue of modern credit reporting system action[J]. Studies on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, 2023,29(1): 47-58,2.
[10] 门钰璐, 严宏伟, 王丛虎. 社会信用合作治理体系的构建——基于数据开放的视角[J].行政管理改革, 2022,14(7): 75-83.
MEN Y L, YAN H W, WANG C H. Construction of social credit cooperative governance system--from the perspective of data openness[J]. Administration Reform, 2022,14(7): 75-83.
[11] 孙淑慧, 朱立龙. 新媒体环境下公众参与的食品质量监管三方演化仿真分析[J].管理评论, 2021,33(3): 315-326.
SUN S H, ZHU L L. Tripartite evolutionary simulation analysis of food quality supervision under public participation in the new media environment[J]. Management Review, 2021,33(3): 315-326.
[12] 闫志华, 唐锡晋. 社会公众参与的药品质量安全共治演化博弈分析[J].系统工程学报, 2021,36(6): 731-743.
YAN Z H, TANG X J. Evolutionary game analysis of drug safety regulation considering public participation[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering, 2021,36(6): 731-743.
[13] 崔萌. 协同治理背景下环保信用监管的三方演化博弈分析[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2021,41(3): 713-726.
CUI M. Tripartite evolutionary game analysis for environmental credit supervision under the background of collaborative governance[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2021, 41(3): 713-726.
[14] 何超, 关伟. 信用评级行业高质量发展的内在逻辑与策略研究[J].金融监管研究, 2022,11(2): 34-49.
HE C, GUAN W. The internal logic and strategy of high-quality development of credit rating industry[J]. Financial Regulation Research, 2022,11(2): 34-49.
[15] 王先甲, 顾翠伶, 何奇龙, 等. 供应链金融信贷市场三方演化博弈动态[J].运筹与管理, 2022,31(1): 30-37.
WANG X J, GU C L, HE Q L, et al. Evolutionary game analysis on credit market of supply chain finance[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2022,31(1): 30-37.
[16] 陈伟杰, 张涛. 信用修复视角下政企行为的演化博弈与仿真分析[J].征信, 2022,40(10): 10-16.
CHEN W J, ZHANG T. Evolutionary game and simulation analysis of government-enterprise behavior from the perspective of credit repair[J]. Credit Reference, 2022,40(10): 10-16.
[17] LIU X M, LIN K K, WANG L. Stochastic evolutionary game analysis of e-waste recycling in environmental regulation from the perspective of dual governance system[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2021,319: 128685.
[18] SHAN S N, ZHANG Z C, JI W Y, et al. Analysis of collaborative urban public crisis governance in complex system: a multi-agent stochastic evolutionary game approach[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2023,91: 104418.
[19] LI J Q, WANG J Q, LEE H, et al. Cross-regional collaborative governance in the process of pollution industry transfer: the case of enclave parks in China[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2023,330: 117113.
[20] 骆建彬, 谢卫红. 基于非参与互动公众的直播平台“低程度”低俗内容治理机制研究[J].运筹与管理, 2022,31(7): 227-233.
LUO J B, XIE W H. Research on governance mechanism of “low level” vulgar content on live broadcasting platform based on non-participating interactive public[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2022,31(7): 227-233.
[21] BAKER C T H, BUCKWAR E. Exponential stability in p-th mean of solutions, and of convergent Euler-type solutions, of stochastic delay differential equations[J]. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2005,184(2): 404-427.
[22] KLOEDEN P E, PLATEN E. Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations[M]. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 1992:161-226.
[23] LIU X M, LIN K K, WANG L, et al. Stochastic evolutionary game analysis between special committees and CEO: incentive and supervision[J]. Dynamic Games and Applications, 2021,11: 538-555.
[24] 吴晶妹, 赵皓月. 论企业信用监管——基于监管理论和合规度理论的分析[J].首都师范大学学报(社会科学版), 2023,51(3): 56-65.
WU J M, ZHAO H Y. On corporate credit regulation: an analysis based on regulatory theory and compliance theory[J]. Journal of Capital Normal University (Social Sciences Edition), 2023,51(3): 56-65.
[1] 陈伟杰, 汤玉秀, 张涛. 环境信用监管下相关主体策略行为的随机演化分析[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2025, 22(1): 113-122.
[2] 徐泽洲, 曲大义, 洪家乐, 宋晓晨. 智能网联汽车自动驾驶行为决策方法研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(3): 88-94.
[3] 付帅帅, 陈伟达, 丁军飞, 王丹丹. 政府对“农超对接”发展影响的多方博弈与仿真[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2020, 17(3): 52-61.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed