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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2024, Vol. 21 Issue (3): 23-29    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.03.004
  复杂网络 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
“一带一路”沿线国家的人口迁移及其演化
马佳骏1a, 勾文沙1a, 李小萌1a, 史毅2, 肖明忠1b, 陈清华1a
1.北京师范大学 a.系统科学学院; b.人工智能学院,北京 100875;
2.中国人口与发展研究中心,北京 100081
Analysis of the Characteristics and Evolution of Population Migration in the Countries along the Belt and Road Initiative
MA Jiajun1a, GOU Wensha1a, LI Xiaomeng1a, SHI Yi2, XIAO Mingzhong1b, CHEN Qinghua1a
1. a. School of Systems Science; b. School of Artificial Intelligence, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;
2. China Population and Development Research Center, Beijing 100081, China
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摘要 为探究“一带一路”沿线国家的人口迁移特征及演化,在复杂系统科学的视角下,基于1960—2020年的人口迁移数据构造网络,通过抽取骨干网、社团划分、应用PageRank重要性评价等方法进行分析。研究发现:该区域国家的人口流入流出逐步趋于平衡,开放程度逐年上升;迁移过程普遍具有“抱团性”和“聚集性”特征;该区域大部分国家在世界移民网络中的影响力处于领先位置。此研究为各国的人口政策提供了证据和基础。
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马佳骏
勾文沙
李小萌
史毅
肖明忠
陈清华
关键词 “一带一路”倡议人口迁移社团划分抱团性    
Abstract:To explore the population migration characteristics and evolution patterns of BRI countries, this paper constructs a network based on population migration data from 1960 to 2020 from the perspective of complex systems science, and conducts analysis by extracting backbone networks, community divisions, and application of PageRank importance evaluation method. The results demonstrate that the migration volume of inflows and outflows within BRI countries has tended to be balanced, and the degree of openness is increasing year by year. And the migration process generally has "cohesion" and "aggregation". The influence of most BRI countries in the global network is higher than the world average. This study provides evidence and basis for the population policies of various countries.
Key wordsbelt and road Initiative    population migration    community division    consistent behavior
收稿日期: 2023-01-15      出版日期: 2024-11-07
ZTFLH:  C922  
  N94  
基金资助:国家社会科学基金(22BRK021);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(20YJAZH010)
通讯作者: 陈清华(1976-),男,湖北当阳人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为社会经济系统复杂性。   
作者简介: 马佳骏(1998-),女,河北承德人,硕士,主要研究方向为人口年龄结构、人口迁移。
引用本文:   
马佳骏, 勾文沙, 李小萌, 史毅, 肖明忠, 陈清华. “一带一路”沿线国家的人口迁移及其演化[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2024, 21(3): 23-29.
MA Jiajun, GOU Wensha, LI Xiaomeng, SHI Yi, XIAO Mingzhong, CHEN Qinghua. Analysis of the Characteristics and Evolution of Population Migration in the Countries along the Belt and Road Initiative[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2024, 21(3): 23-29.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.03.004      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2024/V21/I3/23
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