a. School of Transportation & Logistics; b. National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China
Abstract:Existing studies have shown that landslide is a complex geological phenomenon with multi-factor causation, and the weighted complex network is an important tool to study the complex causation mechanism, however, the existing weighting method cannot reflect the characteristics of the interactions between landslide causation, and it is necessary to propose a new quantitative method to assign weights to the connecting edges. Based on Granger causality analysis, this paper proposes a quantification method based on objective data weights to objectively assign weights to the strengths of interaction between landslide causal factors. Different objective quantification models were constructed to consider the linear or non-linear relationships among causal factors; and the effectiveness of the method was verified based on the causal data of precipitation, vegetation, surface runoff and other causal in the landslide mechanism network with scalability. The results show that the weighted quantification models can be based on objective causal time series and realise the dynamic assignment of the causal factors,which lays a solid foundation for quantitative research based on weighted complex networks.
[1] 简文彬,吴振祥.地质灾害及其防护[M].北京:人民交通出版社,2015. [2] TERZAGHI K.Mechanism of Landslides[M].Berkley:Geological Society of America,1950. [3] SKEMPTON A W.Residual strength of clays in landslides,folded strata and the laboratory[J].Geotechnique,1985,35(1):318. [4] 戴福初,陈守义,李焯芬.从土的应力应变特性探讨滑坡发生机理[J].岩土工程学报,2000,22(1):127130. DAI F C,CHEN S Y,LI Z F.Analysis of landslide initiative mechanism based on stress-strain behavior of soil[J].Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering,2000,22(1):127130. [5] 杨永红,王成华,刘淑珍,等.不同植被类型根系提高浅层滑坡土体抗剪强度的试验研究[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(2):233235. YANG Y H,WANG C H,LIU S Z,et al.Experimental research on improving shear strength of soil in surface landslide by root system of different vegetation type[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(2):233235. [6] TORDESILLAS A,ZHOU Z Z,BATTERHAM R. A data-driven complex systems approach to early prediction of landslides[J]. Mechanics Research Communications,2018,(92):137141. [7] HAN Y W,BAO X Y. Topological mapping of complex networks from high slope deformation time series for landslide risk assessment[J]. Expert Systems with Applications,2022,206:117816. [8] 贺卓文,陈楠.复杂网络理论在黄土高原沟谷地貌特征研究中的应用[J].地球信息科学,2021,23(7):1196 1207. HE Z W,CHEN N.Feature analysis of gully landforms in Loes Plateau based on complex networks[J] Journal of Geo-information Science,2021,23(7):11961207. [9] 张红伟,王海燕,闫永胜,等.加权有向关联网络构建与表征的水中目标远距离检测[DB/OL].[20241005]. http://link.cnki.net/urlid/11.2176.tj.20230928.0955.002. ZHANG H W,WANG H Y,YAN Y S,et al.Construction and characterization of weighted directed correlation network for remote detection of underwater targets[DB/OL].[20241005]. http://link.cnki.net/urlid/11.2176.tj.20230928.0955.002. [10] CASTAGNETO-GISSEY G,CHAVEZ M,FALLANI F D V. Dynamic granger-causal networks of electricity spot prices:a novel approach market integration[J]. Energy Economics,2014,(44):422432. [11] 李艺珍,毛建刚,张明,等.基于VAR模型的新疆金沟河气象要素与径流关系分析[J].水资源与水工程学报,2020,31(5):8086. LI Y Z,MAO J G,ZHANG M,et al.Relationship between meteorological elements and runoff in Jingou river basin of Xinjiang based on the VAR model[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2020,31(5):8086. [12] DANIELE M,MARIO P,SEBASTIANO S. Kernel method for nonlinear granger causality[J]. Physical Review Letters,2008,100(14):144103. [13] 张小宇,刘金金.内地股票市场与国际主要股票市场的非线性关联机制研究[J].数理统计与管理,2015,34(5):923932. ZHANG X Y,LIU J J.Studies on the nonlinear relationships between stock market in mainland of China and other ones in the world[J].Journal of Applied Statistics andManagement,2015,34(5):923932. [14] PEGUIN-FEISSOLLE A,STRIKHOLM B,TERASVIRTA T.Testing the granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form[J].Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation,2013,42(5):10631087. [15] 刘爱华,吴超.基于复杂网络的灾害链风险评估方法的研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2015,35(2):466472. LIU A H,WU C.Research on risk assessment method of disaster chain based on complex network[J] Systems EngineeringTheory&Practice,2015,35(2):466472. [16] 张光辉,魏玉杰,周小荃,等.干湿循环强度与频度对花岗岩红壤孔隙分布的影响[J].农业工程学报,2022,38(S1):106113. ZHANG G H,WEI Y J,ZHOU X Q,et al.Effects of the intensity and time of wetting-drying cycles on the pore distribution of grantie red soil[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2022, 38(S1):106113. [17] 李艳大,孙滨峰,曹中盛,等.基于作物生长监测诊断仪的双季稻叶面积指数监测模型[J].农业工程学报,2020,36(10):141149. LI Y D,SUN B F,CAO Z S,et al.Model for monitoring leaf area index of double cropping rice based on crop growth monitoring and diagnosis apparatus[J].Transactions ofthe Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2020,36(10):141149.