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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2026, Vol. 23 Issue (1): 114-122    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2026.01.014
  演化博弈 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
新媒体环境下文旅信息传播的演化特征研究
张洁1,2, 菅利荣1
1.南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京 211106;
2.安徽商贸职业技术学院国际商务与旅游学院,安徽 芜湖 241002
The Evolutionary Characteristics of Cultural Tourism Information Dissemination in the New Media Environment
ZHANG Jie1,2, JIAN Lirong1
1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China;
2. School of International Business and Tourism, Anhui Business College, Wuhu 241002, China
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摘要 为研究新媒体环境下文旅信息传播的演化特征,辨析博主宣传、主播营销对潜在游客的影响,应用前景理论刻画博主、主博在文旅信息传播过程中的损益感知,综合运用SEIR与演化博弈理论构建文旅信息传播模型,结合云南西双版纳和江苏高淳老街的情景案例进行数值仿真。研究发现:单次信息传播下,游客量随文旅信息的传播呈倒U型曲线特征;文旅信息的传播效果与选择传播策略的博主比例、选择销售策略的主播比例、传播者接触人数、人群中博主的比例、博主的“粉丝”数量呈正相关,与传播时长、自然衰减参数负相关。
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张洁
菅利荣
关键词 新媒体文旅信息传播西双版纳高淳老街    
Abstract:To study the evolutionary characteristics of cultural tourism information dissemination in the new media environment, analyze the impact of blogger promotion and host marketing on potential tourists, apply prospect theory to depict the profit and loss perception of bloggers and hosts in the process of cultural tourism information dissemination, comprehensively use SEIR and evolutionary game theory to construct a cultural tourism information dissemination model, and conduct numerical simulation with scenario cases in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan and Gaochun Old Street, Jiangsu. The research results indicate that, under a single information dissemination, the number of tourists follows an inverted U-shaped curve with the dissemination of cultural tourism information; The dissemination effect of cultural tourism information is positively correlated with the proportion of bloggers who choose communication strategies, the proportion of broadcasters who choose sales strategies, the number of contacts with communicators, the proportion of bloggers in the population, and the number of "fans" of bloggers, but negatively correlated with the duration of dissemination and natural attenuation parameters.
Key wordsnew media    cultural tourism information dissemination    Xishuangbanna    Gaochun Old Street
收稿日期: 2023-02-24      出版日期: 2026-02-13
ZTFLH:  F592  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(71573124)
通讯作者: 菅利荣(1968-),女,内蒙古集宁人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为创新管理、预测与决策。   
作者简介: 张 洁(1997-),女,山东菏泽人,博士,主要研究方向为文化产业、预测与决策。
引用本文:   
张洁, 菅利荣. 新媒体环境下文旅信息传播的演化特征研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2026, 23(1): 114-122.
ZHANG Jie, JIAN Lirong. The Evolutionary Characteristics of Cultural Tourism Information Dissemination in the New Media Environment[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2026, 23(1): 114-122.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2026.01.014      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2026/V23/I1/114
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