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2021 , Vol. 18 >Issue 4: 9 - 20

DOI: https://doi.org/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.04.002

丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学研究

  • 薛伟贤 ,
  • 郑玉雯 ,
  • 薛伟贤 ,
  • 郑玉雯
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  • 1.西安工程大学管理学院,西安 710048;
    2.西安理工大学经济与管理学院,西安 710048
郑玉雯(1984-),女,陕西西安人,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为社会经济系统与管理,系统工程。

收稿日期: 2020-11-22

  修回日期: 2020-12-31

  网络出版日期: 2021-11-30

基金资助

国家社会科学基金(17BJL005);国家自然科学基金青年项目(72103160)

收起

System Dynamics on the Coupling of Production Network and Ecological Environment in the Silk Road Economic Belt

  • XUE Weixian ,
  • ZHENG Yuwen ,
  • XUE Weixian ,
  • ZHENG Yuwen
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  • 1. School of Management,Xi'an Polytechnic University,Xi'an 710048,China;
    2. College of Economic and Management,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China

Received date: 2020-11-22

  Revised date: 2020-12-31

  Online published: 2021-11-30

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摘要

为探索丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合演进的内在机制和规律。以复杂性科学为视角,运用系统动力学方法构建了丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学模型并进行仿真分析。阐释了自然演进型发展模式、生产网络加速型发展模式和生态环境保护型发展模式三种情景下,耦合系统的动态演化过程和演进规律;并揭示出丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境的耦合发展是以生产网络的跨越式发展为前提的。在“一带一路”倡议的驱动下,不断推进丝绸之路经济带生产网络发展演进进程,是促进丝绸之路经济带高质量可持续发展的有效路径。

关键词： 丝绸之路经济带; 生产网络; 生态环境; 耦合; 系统动力学

本文引用格式

薛伟贤 , 郑玉雯 , 薛伟贤 , 郑玉雯 . 丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境耦合的系统动力学研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021 , 18(4) : 9 -20 . DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.04.002

Abstract

In order to explore the internal mechanism and laws of the evolution of the Silk Road Economic Belt production networks with ecological environment in the perspective of complexity science. System dynamics method is used to build the coupled system dynamic model, and simulation analysis is conducted. The coupling system dynamic evolution process and evolution rules are explained under three different scenarios: the evolution of natural development model, production network to accelerate development mode and development mode of ecological environment. It is found that the Silk Road Economic Belt production network and the coupling development of ecological environment is the premise of the evolution of the development of production networks. Driven by the Belt and Road Initiative, Continuously promoting the development and evolution of the production network of the Silk Road Economic Belt is an effective way to promote the high-quality and sustainable development of the Silk Road Economic Belt

Key words： production network; ecological environment; coupling; system dynamics; the silk road economic belt

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