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Review on Strategies Enhancing the Robustness of Complex Network
WANG Zhe, LI Jianhua, KANG Dong, RAN Haodan
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2020, 17 (3): 1-26.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.03.001
Abstract   PDF (3779KB)  
The enhancement of the robustness of complex networks has been a hotspot in the field of network science in recent years. It is both of great scientific significance and theoretical value to explore the strategy of enhancing the robustness for network structure design and function improvement. On the basis of extensive collation and systematic analysis of domestic and foreign literature, this paper summarizes comprehensively the key point and main ideasof the current research on the enhancement strategies of complex networks robustness from three aspects: pre-defense, in-process recovery and post-optimization. The advantages, disadvantages and applicability of different strategies are compared and analyzed. Then we look forward to future research direction in this field.
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A Hybrid Ant Colony Optimization for Bi-Objective VRP with Time Windows
DENG Lijuan, ZHANG Jihui
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2020, 17 (4): 73-84.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.04.009
Abstract   PDF (1753KB)  
With requirements of continuous improvements to customers’ service, Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows (VRPTW) attracted more and more attention. Aiming to minimize the total cost and to maximize customers’ satisfaction, a bi-objective integer programming model is established. A Hybrid Ant Colony Optimization (HACO) is designed to solve it. An elitist-ant strategy is set up to explore the bi-objective functions respectively and to get better non-dominant solutions. The evaporation factors are redefined to balance local and global search capabilities of the algorithm and to avoid premature convergence. NSGA-Ⅱ is used to guide the bi-objective optimizing process, a variable neighborhood search algorithm is used to expand the search space, in order to obtain the better Pareto solution set. The optimal parameter combination was determined by an orthogonal experiment, and the Solomon standard instances are used to test the performance of the algorithm. The simulation results show that the HACO can effectively solve the vehicle routing problem with time windows, and the performance of HACO has a significant improvement.
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Review on Evolution of Cooperation in Social Dilemma Games
QUAN Ji, ZHOU Yawen, WANG Xianjia
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2020, 17 (1): 1-14.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.01.001
Abstract   PDF (1121KB)  
The conditions for the spontaneous emergence of cooperation under the complex human behavior model have become the focus of many disciplines. Exploring the conditions for cooperation has both important scientific significance and theoretical value for understanding the institutional arrangements in human society. The social dilemma games provide a theoretical prototype for studying cooperation issues between multiple individuals. As a dynamic analysis method that can describe individuals′ learning and strategy adjustment processes, evolutionary game theory has been one of the most effective frameworks for studying the evolution of cooperation. This review article systematically summarizes the research progress of using the evolutionary game method to study the issues of group cooperation in social dilemma games. Specifically, the following topics are included: research progress of (1) social dilemma game models, evolutionary game theory and equilibrium analysis methods, (2) social dilemma games and the evolution of cooperation under reward/punishment mechanism and reputation mechanism, (3) social dilemma games and the evolution of cooperation with separation strategy and extortion strategy, and (4) social dilemma games and the evolution of cooperation under the network reciprocity. Finally, prospects for further research issues in this area are presented.
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A Review of the Research Status and Progress of Opinion Dynamics
LIU Jusheng, HE Jianjia, HAN Jingti, YU Changrui
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2021, 18 (2): 9-20.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2021.02.002
Abstract   PDF (1693KB)  
As a form of public opinion, view and attitude, opinion widely exists in people′s life. It is important to clarify the evolution mechanism of opinion, explicit the existing research progress, and promote the rational governance of public opinion. In view of the lack of relevant introduction of binary opinion dynamics and the separation of the relationship between binary and group opinion dynamics, this paper summarized the research status of opinion dynamics at home and abroad. Firstly, it introduces the binary opinion dynamics model from the perspective of research method and interaction characteristic; Secondly, it combed the research results of group opinion dynamics from the perspective of individual characteristic, behavior characteristic, opinion characteristic, external environment and perspective dynamics. Finally, based on the existing research, it clarifies the problems, the mechanism of opinion evolution from the empirical perspective, the strengthening of opinions and the reduction of disputes, and the relationship between the evolution of views and group decision-making, that need to be solved in the future.
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The Application of an Improved HHO Algorithm in the Location of Perishable Goods Distribution Center
ZHANG Zhixia, LI Pengzhang
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2024, 21 (4): 91-98.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.04.014
Abstract   PDF (2166KB)  
In order to ensure that urban emergency supplies can be delivered to the demand point in a timely and accurate manner, especially for special emergency supplies with a short life cycle′ perishable goods, its timeliness requirements are higher. Based on the emergency scenario of sudden public health events, this paper establishes a multi-objective location model of urban perishable goods distribution center with the goal of minimizing transportation time and transportation cost and maximizing relative coverage area. The Harris Hawk optimization algorithm (HHO) is improved to achieve an effective solution to the multi-objective location problem of perishable goods distribution center. In order to verify the effectiveness of the model, a district in Shanghai is selected as a research example. The results show that the improved HHO algorithm can solve the location model of perishable goods distribution center under actual urban road conditions, and can provide an intuitive multi-objective location optimization scheme.
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On the Risk Contagion Effect of International Stock Market Based on 15 Stock Markets Data from 2007 to 2018
LIU Chao, WANG Shujiao, LIU Chenqi, LIU Siyuan
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2020, 17 (2): 54-66.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.02.007
Abstract   PDF (1053KB)  
This paper uses the AR (1)-GJR (1, 1)-SKT model to describe the marginal distribution of 15 stock index returns. A hybrid R-Vine Copula model is constructed to analyze the risk contagion effect of international stock markets under the four crisis events, which include the subprime mortgage crisis, the European debt crisis, the abnormal fluctuations of the Chinese stock market in 2015 and the Sino-US trade friction in 2018. The empirical results show that the international stock markets maintain symmetrical top-to-bottom dependence characteristics in the long term. The risk contagion will cause the Kendall rank correlation coefficient and tail correlation coefficient among stock markets to rise suddenly. The subprime crisis has a strong contagious effect and a long duration, and the European debt crisis is relatively mild. In 2015, the abnormal fluctuations in the Chinese stock market had a strong contagious effect on international stock markets, but the duration was short. In 2018, the Sino-US trade friction held a weaker contagious effect on the international stock markets. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are more integrated with Hong Kong stock market in China.
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Data Mining of Live Streaming Platforms: Statistical Characteristics and Temporal Pattern
GUO Shuhui, LÜ Xin
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2023, 20 (2): 1-9.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.02.001
Abstract   PDF (3503KB)  
To explore the behavioral characteristics of massive crowds under the active interaction of millions of streamers and viewers in the field of live streaming, this paper summarized the temporal patterns of live streaming workload and user behavior characteristics of the live streaming platform, taking Douyu and Huya live streaming platforms as examples, a statistical analysis of 123 consecutive days, involving more than 2.4 million anchors, and more than 726 million live streaming data. The live streaming workload has obvious intra-day and intra-week effect. Different live streaming modes have significant differences in live streaming characteristics such as the average number of viewers and followers. The lifetime of streamers and the number of viewers conform to a power law distribution. With the development of the platform, there is a strong linear correlation between the number of streamers and viewers, but its volatility is gradually increasing, reflecting the increasingly strong heterogeneity and non-uniformity of the system. It is of great significance for understanding user behavior patterns in complex systems of live streaming, mining user distribution laws and changing trends, and designing business models such as personalized recommendations.
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On the Measurement of Industrial Chain Resilience in China Based on the Perspective of Production Network
HE Yu, TIAN Jiexin, QIN Zhaohui, CHEN Zhenzhen
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2024, 21 (4): 21-27.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.04.004
Abstract   PDF (3949KB)  
To scientifically evaluate the resilience of China′s industrial chain and promote high-quality economic development, this paper employs complex network theory and utilizes data from China′s multi-regional input-output table to construct a simulated attack model of the industrial chain network, thereby measuring the resilience of the industrial chain. The results show that the industrial chain layout of 31 provinces in China exhibits obvious local correlation attributes, and presents a collaborative development characteristic led by key regions and industries; The overall resilience of China′s industrial chain is strong, and during the inspection period, the overall resilience index of China′s industrial chain shows an upward trend; There is a significant gap in the resilience of the industrial chain between regions and industries in China.
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Short-term Load Forecasting Considering VMD Residuals and Optimizing BiLSTM
XIE Yuxuan, WANG Hongjun, YUE Youjun, ZHAO Hui
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2024, 21 (4): 149-156.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.04.021
Abstract   PDF (3711KB)  
This study proposes a new method to improve short-term load forecasting accuracy. The method is based on Variational Modal Decomposition (VMD) with consideration of VMD residuals and an Improved Northern Eagle Algorithm (INGO) optimized Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory (BiLSTM) network. The VMD is used to decompose historical load data into multiple eigenmode components (IMFs) and a residual quantity. The BiLSTM model is then constructed separately for each IMF and residual, as well as the associated meteorological parameters. To avoid the impact of poorly selected hyperparameters on prediction accuracy, the INGO algorithm optimizes the implied layer nodes, training times, and learning rates of the BiLSTM. Last but not least, the prediction results are superimposed to obtain the final results. By analyzing specific cases, this paper′s method has demonstrated a higher prediction precision when compared to alternative methods. This validation confirms the effectiveness of the method presented in this article.
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Social Network User Gender Recognition by Combining Text and Emoji Features
WANG Hao, XU Xiaoke
Complex Systems and Complexity Science    2022, 19 (4): 17-24.   DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2022.04.003
Abstract   PDF (1927KB)  
In order to improve the accuracy of gender recognition for social network users, the text features and emoticon features of a single user are fused to identify the user's gender, and then the interactive feature information of multiple users is extracted to further improve the accuracy of gender recognition. The experimental results show that the accuracy of user gender recognition is improved by 6.8% after the fusion of multi-user interaction features. It shows that emoticons and multi-user interaction features are very helpful to improve the accuracy of user gender identification, and improve the accuracy of gender information identification of social network users.
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