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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2017, Vol. 14 Issue (1): 20-27    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2017.01.004
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人口迁移导致区域两极分化的动力学分析
孙功强1, 霍杰1,2, 王鹏1, 郝睿1,2, 王旭明1,2
1.宁夏大学物理与电子电气工程学院,银川 750021;
2.宁夏沙漠信息智能感知重点实验室,银川 750021
Dynamical Analysis on Polarization of Regions in Population Distribution Induced by Migrations
SUN Gongqiang1, HUO Jie1,2, WANG Peng1, HAO Rui1,2, WANG Xuming1,2
1. School of Physic and Electronic-Electrical Engineering, Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China;
2. Ningxia Key Laboratory of Intelligent Sensing for Desert Information,Yinchuan 750021,China
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摘要 为揭示利益驱动下的人口迁移,由人均收入、公共服务资源人均占有量和平均年龄构造一个区域广义势。当某区域广义势高于各区域的平均时,该区域将有迁出者;那些广义势比平均广义势较低的区域将是这些迁出者的迁入区;向不同区域迁入的人则由依赖于两地间广义势之差的迁移概率决定。结果表明,净迁入(迁出)人口随时间指数衰减,迁出(迁入)区总人口、人均收入、公共服务资源人均占有量均呈现近似为指数方式衰减(“反指数”方式增长),最后达到三者相互匹配的相对稳定态。信息熵、人口分布与斑图演化均显示一个两极化的有序化过程。
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孙功强
霍杰
王鹏
郝睿
王旭明
关键词 人口迁移广义势两极分化信息熵    
Abstract:Abstract: To reveal behaviors of population migration driven by interests, a generalized potential for a region is suggested and defined by income per capita, public service resources per capita and average age of the people within it.The dynamic rules are: when the generalized potential for a given region is higher than the average over all of the regions,some people would like to migrate out of this region;the regions that their generalized potentials are of lower than the average will become the migration destinations,immigration regions,for the upcoming migrating people;the allocation of such upcoming migrating people to the immigration regions is determined by difference of the generalized potentials between the given region and the corresponding immigration regions.The calculated results show some regulations that govern the migrating process: the number of migration people in a region,neither immigration or emigration, decays generally in an exponential way with time,which leads to the amount of people, income per capita and public service resources per capita in the emigration/immigration region decreases /increases in an exponential/“anti-exponential” way, and finally reach a relative steady state at which the mentioned three key factors match each other. The variation of information entropy and the evolution of pattern-formation for the regions indicate that the system evolves towards order in the progress of polarization of population distribution.
Key wordspopulation migration    generalized potential    polarization of regions    information entropy
收稿日期: 2015-11-08      出版日期: 2025-02-24
ZTFLH:  N949  
  O415.6  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(11265011)
通讯作者: 王旭明(1967-),宁夏西吉人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为复杂系统理论。   
作者简介: 孙功强(1987-)男,甘肃兰州人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为人类行为动力学和复杂系统。
引用本文:   
孙功强, 霍杰, 王鹏, 郝睿, 王旭明. 人口迁移导致区域两极分化的动力学分析[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2017, 14(1): 20-27.
Distribution Induced by Migrations
SUN Gongqiang, HUO Jie, WANG Peng, HAO Rui, WANG Xuming. Dynamical Analysis on Polarization of Regions in Population Distribution Induced by Migrations[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2017, 14(1): 20-27.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2017.01.004      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2017/V14/I1/20
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