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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2023, Vol. 20 Issue (1): 41-48    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.01.006
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考虑网络结构的影子银行与银行系统稳定性研究
潘弘杰, 范宏
东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海 200051
Research on Shadow Banking and Banking System Stability Considering the Network Structure
PAN Hongjie, FAN Hong
Glorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai 200051, China
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摘要 为探讨网络结构与影子银行对银行系统性风险的影响,基于复杂网络和演变的资产负债表模型,引入影子银行,构建考虑不同银行间网络结构的动态银行间网络系统模型。研究结果表明,影子银行是风险传染的主要载体,带有影子银行的银行系统性风险较高且其与银行间网络结构密切相关;相对集中的无标度和小世界网络更容易传播风险,分散的随机网络可以缓解风险传染,但过强的外部冲击会使缓解作用失效。
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潘弘杰
范宏
关键词 影子银行银行间网络结构风险传染系统稳定性    
Abstract:In order to explore the effect of network structure and shadow banking on systematic risks, this paper introduces shadow banking and constructs a dynamic interbank network system model considering different interbank network structures based on the complex network and evolving balance sheet model. The results show that shadow banks are the main carriers of risk contagion, and the banking system with shadow banking has high systematic risk and the systemic risk is closely related to the interbank network structure; relatively concentrated scale-free and small-world networks are more likely to spread risks. Scattered random networks can mitigate risk contagion, but too strong external shocks will make the mitigation ineffective.
Key wordsshadow banking    interbank network structure    risk contagion    system stability
收稿日期: 2021-09-06      出版日期: 2023-04-19
ZTFLH:  F830  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(71971054);上海市自然科学基金(19ZR1402100)
通讯作者: 范宏(1971),女,上海人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为复杂网络与复杂系统、金融网络系统风险分析。   
作者简介: 潘弘杰(1992),女,黑龙江牡丹江人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为复杂经济系统建模与分析。
引用本文:   
潘弘杰, 范宏. 考虑网络结构的影子银行与银行系统稳定性研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2023, 20(1): 41-48.
PAN Hongjie, FAN Hong. Research on Shadow Banking and Banking System Stability Considering the Network Structure. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2023, 20(1): 41-48.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.01.006      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2023/V20/I1/41
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