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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2023, Vol. 20 Issue (2): 90-97    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.02.012
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考虑氮素流通效率的生态补偿策略演化博弈分析
张骥骧, 陈晓竹
南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京 211106
Evolutionary Game Analysis of Ecological Compensation Strategies Considering Nitrogen Circulation Efficiency
ZHANG Jixiang, CHEN Xiaozhu
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
全文: PDF(4000 KB)  
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摘要 基于流域氮素流通效率提升,探讨地方政府与农户的生态补偿策略选择,构建有限理性地方政府与农户的演化博弈模型,仿真分析演化均衡策略,提出补偿力度随农户行为变化的动态生态补偿政策,有利于政府长期优化政策和响应需求。研究表明:静态生态补偿政策下系统存在均衡稳定策略,且双方的初始合作比例直接影响系统演化速率;动态政策下演化轨迹螺旋式趋近混合策略焦点,可通过控制生态补偿上限等因素提升合作概率。
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张骥骧
陈晓竹
关键词 氮素流通效率演化博弈生态补偿演化稳定策略    
Abstract:Based on the enhancement of nitrogen circulation efficiency in the watersheds, this paper explores ecological compensation strategy choices of decision-makers, constructs an evolutionary game model of boundedly rational local governments and farmers, and simulates the evolutionary equilibrium strategies. A dynamic ecological compensation policy is proposed, where compensation intensity changes with farmers' behavior, which is conducive to the government's long-term optimization of its policies. The study shows that there exists an equilibrium stability strategy for the system under static ecological compensation policy, meanwhile, the initial cooperation ratio of both parties directly affects the evolutionary rate of the system; the evolutionary trajectory under dynamic policy spirals towards a mixed strategy focus, and the cooperation ratio can be elevated by controlling the ecological compensation ceiling and other crucial factors.
Key wordsnitrogen cascade efficiency    evolutionary game    ecological compensation    evolutionary stabilization strategy
收稿日期: 2022-01-16      出版日期: 2023-07-21
ZTFLH:  F205  
  F224.32  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(71101071);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NS2019045)
通讯作者: 陈晓竹(1998-),女,江苏无锡人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为管理科学及决策理论与方法。   
作者简介: 张骥骧(1978-),男,安徽淮南人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为有限理性博弈与企业经营过程分析与决策。
引用本文:   
张骥骧, 陈晓竹. 考虑氮素流通效率的生态补偿策略演化博弈分析[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2023, 20(2): 90-97.
ZHANG Jixiang, CHEN Xiaozhu. Evolutionary Game Analysis of Ecological Compensation Strategies Considering Nitrogen Circulation Efficiency. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2023, 20(2): 90-97.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2023.02.012      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2023/V20/I2/90
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