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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2024, Vol. 21 Issue (1): 35-42    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.01.005
  复杂网络 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
突发传染病情况下高校行人流建模分析与管理控制:以高校食堂为例
纪鑫a, 徐嘉明a, 杨瑷玲a, 于子兰b, 唐铁桥a
北京航空航天大学 a.交通科学与工程学院;b.未来空天技术/高等理工学院,北京100191
Modeling Analysis and Management Control of Dense Pedestrian Flow in a Closed Area Under the Outbreak of Infectious Diseases: Taking University Canteen as an Example
JI Xina, XU Jiaminga, YANG Ailinga, YU Zilanb, TANG Tieqiaoa
a. School of Transportation Science and Engineering; b. SHENYUAN Honors College, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
全文: PDF(2763 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 为降低密集人群封闭系统在突发传染病情况下的传播风险,以北京航空航天大学沙河校区第一食堂为研究场景,针对存在传染病传播的学校食堂这一特殊场景提出了12种疏散策略。并通过元胞自动机仿真模拟,评估控制策略的效果。仿真结果表明,在疏散前采取出入口消毒、患者隔离等措施,能够降低约40%的整体感染风险。控制措施不仅可以用来解决新冠肺炎背景下“人员聚集场所发现疑似病例的人员疏散”问题,而且在处理一些特定场合的突发情况和指导疫情预防方面也具有应用价值。
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纪鑫
徐嘉明
杨瑷玲
于子兰
唐铁桥
关键词 高校食堂行人疏散元胞自动机疫情防控管理策略    
Abstract:In order to reduce the transmission risk of closed systems in densely populated areas during outbreaks of infectious diseases, this study focuses on the first cafeteria of the Shahe Campus of Beihang University as the research scene, and proposes 12 evacuation strategies for school cafeterias where disease transmission occurs. By conducting cellular automaton simulations, the effectiveness of these control strategies is evaluated. The simulation results indicate that implementing measures such as disinfection of entrances and exits, and isolating patients before evacuation can reduce the overall infection risk by approximately 40%. These control measures not only address the issue of evacuating individuals suspected of having COVID-19 in places of congregation, but also have practical value in handling sudden situations in specific scenarios and guiding epidemic prevention efforts.
Key wordsuniversity canteen    pedestrian evacuation    cellular automata    epidemic prevention and control    management strategy
收稿日期: 2022-03-18      出版日期: 2024-04-26
ZTFLH:  TB3  
  U491  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(72171006,71771005)
通讯作者: 唐铁桥(1977-),男,湖南邵阳人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为行人流建模分析。   
作者简介: 纪鑫(2000-),男,内蒙古呼伦贝尔人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为行人流建模分析。
引用本文:   
纪鑫, 徐嘉明, 杨瑷玲, 于子兰, 唐铁桥. 突发传染病情况下高校行人流建模分析与管理控制:以高校食堂为例[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2024, 21(1): 35-42.
JI Xin, XU Jiaming, YANG Ailing, YU Zilan, TANG Tieqiao. Modeling Analysis and Management Control of Dense Pedestrian Flow in a Closed Area Under the Outbreak of Infectious Diseases: Taking University Canteen as an Example[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2024, 21(1): 35-42.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2024.01.005      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2024/V21/I1/35
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