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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2019, Vol. 16 Issue (4): 82-89    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2019.04.008
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
生猪价格波动的复杂网络特征及模态传导
付莲莲, 冯家璇, 赵一恒
江西农业大学计算机与信息工程学院,南昌 330045
Complex Network Characteristics and Modal Transmission for Hog′s Price Fluctuation
FU Lianlian, FENG Jiaxuan, ZHAO Yiheng
School of Computer and Information Engineering,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China
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摘要 为分析生猪价格波动的复杂网络特征及模态传导,构建了生猪价格的复杂网络,分析价格网络的模态特征、生猪价格波动核心模态节点的加权集聚系数、K核的传导模态和转换时间特征。研究得出,六种模态的加权出度分布的和高达79.26%,模态传导是价格波动的主要传导途径,是一个由6个主要模态组成的单向闭环;价格波动具有较强的渐进性、持续性和周期性;价格的下降模态转换出现在3月、4月、5月,价格的上升模态转换出现在7月、8月、9月、10月和11月。
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付莲莲
冯家璇
赵一恒
付莲莲
冯家璇
赵一恒
关键词 生猪价格复杂网络传导粗粒化k核解析    
Abstract:In order to resolve the dynamic characteristics of pig price fluctuations and transmission from January 2000 to September 2018, the paperestablishescomplex network and analyzes model characteristics of the network,weighted aggregation coefficient of core modal nodes of hog′s price fluctuation, transmission models of K-core and transition time characteristics. The results show that the sum of the weighted degree distributions of the six modes is as high as 79.26%, which accounts for the dominant position of conduction. Modal transmission is the main transmission pathways of price volatility which is a one-way closed loop composed of six main modes. The price fluctuation of hog′s has strong gradual, persistent and periodic characteristics, and the above modal transitions have strong temporality. The modal transitions with a downward trend mainly occur in March, April and May, while the modal transitions with an upward trend mainly occur in July, August, September, October and November.
Key wordsprice of live pig    complex network    transmission    coarse-grained    k-core decomposition
收稿日期: 2019-05-07      出版日期: 2020-01-21
:  F323  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(71963019);高校人文社会科学青年基金(GL19220)
作者简介: 付莲莲(1981-),女,江西九江人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为管理科学与工程、农产品价格波动。
引用本文:   
付莲莲, 冯家璇, 赵一恒. 生猪价格波动的复杂网络特征及模态传导[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2019, 16(4): 82-89.
FU Lianlian, FENG Jiaxuan, ZHAO Yiheng. Complex Network Characteristics and Modal Transmission for Hog′s Price Fluctuation[J]. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2019, 16(4): 82-89.
链接本文:  
https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2019.04.008      或      https://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2019/V16/I4/82
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